Friday, 8 November 2013

Autumn International Preview - England v Argentina


It's not very often you go into an international weekend as an England fan with a feeling of deflation.  Expectation?  Occasionally.  Hope?  Against my better judgement, more often than not.  Dread?  Regularly.  Numb despondency?  Occasionally – often when Andy Robinson was picking the team.  But this weekend should have been a chance to see one of the most exciting wing pairings in years strut their stuff in front of an expectant home crowd.  Marland Yarde showed glimpses of his speed and power at the weekend whilst Christian Wade was in phenomenal form for Wasps, bagging two tries from the half way line in a scintillating display of acceleration and footwork.  Instead, minor ailments have ensured that neither man will be gracing the hallowed home of English rugby this weekend, and instead their spots will be taken by a man who hasn't found international form for 18 months and a full back playing out of position.   Don't get me wrong, I'm a big fan of Chris Ashton when he's on form, but we haven't seen that for years.  Perhaps now he has had a stern warning, we may see some sparks fly.

Stuart Lancaster has attempted to quell the feeling of disappointment of not seeing two of the most exciting young talents in the English game in the famous white shirt by instilling one of curiosity, as he changes the entire front row for the match up against the Pumas on Saturday.  Joe Marler is in for Mako Vunipola, who is injured, with the returning Alex Corbisiero on the bench, Dylan Hartley steps in for new-father Tom Youngs and, most surprisingly, Dan Cole is replaced by David Wilson.  The first two changes are semi-forced and understandable, but the latter had me confused at first – Dan Cole had been the central figure in an utterly dominant England scrum last weekend, destroying James Slipper and earning 7 penalties in the process.  It was difficult to see why he was dropped.  But then I came to realise this is a positive change.  Cole has been a fixture in the side for years, and no other tighthead has really been tested as a starter, and a match against the Pumas represents a more than significant challenge to anyone wanting to challenge Cole's spot.  Plus, Wilson's form has been impressive and all facets of his game have been improving – Cole is still first choice in my book, but Wilson has a real chance to put himself forward as a genuine option.  And against the Pumas front row, there's no better place to test yourself.

The South Americans come into this in what can best be described as disarray, and worst as a chaotic mess.  With rumours of a split in the camp, coach Santiago Phelan walking out on the eve of the tour and a 40 point hammering at home to Australia, morale must be low.  The deflated feeling amongst England fans won't have been helped either by the news that 2 of their truly world-class operators – Juan Martin Hernandez and Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe – are injured for the fixture.  But in times like these, sides can either rally or collapse.  I know what I expect to see from them, and Stuart Lancaster's men should be expecting that fiery Latino passion.  There's nothing more dangerous than a Puma side that has been written off.    As is tradition, everyone has been banging on about the scrum in the build up to this one – and to some extent that's right with the calibre of scrummagers they have at their disposal, but I'd suggest that they have extremely capable players out wide as well, although they appear to be unsure as to how to bring them into play effectively at the moment.  Their back 3 of Amorosino, Agulla and Imhoff are all proven at top club and international level, and can be lethal if given space.

That's not to say England don't have threats of their own – indeed, the competition for places that is developing should ensure that players are looking to show as much ambition as possible.  The vote of confidence for Billy Twelvetrees should see him demanding ball off the half backs and looking to dictate play with the authority we've seen for Gloucester.  How effective that proves to be will be down to whether or not Owen Farrell and Lee Dickson express at least a modicum of understanding, which was missing last week – but one thing is for sure, they shouldn't lack for front foot ball, with Billy Vunipola, Wilson and Courtney Lawes lurking about.  And that's not the mention the all-Test Lion tight 5 they have on the bench.  Useful.

So, despite the disappointment of injuries to promising players, perhaps there are a couple of reasons to be hopeful.  England are building a genuinely competitive squad and, if they win – and win with style – maybe there will be some reasons to feel a little more 'inflated' for the visit of the All Blacks.

 

England Team News

England have made four changes to their starting XV for Saturday's Test against Argentina at Twickenham.  Leicester prop Dan Cole, who has been a fixture in the England side since making his debut in 2010, makes way for Bath tight-head David Wilson.   Dylan Hartley replaces Tom Youngs at hooker after the Leicester man had been away at the birth of his first child during the week and loose-head Joe Marler replaces the injured Mako Vunipola.   Ben Foden comes in for the injured Marland Yarde on the wing but Christian Wade is out with a hamstring strain.  Scrum-half Ben Youngs failed a fitness test on a hip injury on Friday and will be replaced on the bench by Danny Care.

Starting Line-up: Mike Brown, Chris Ashton, Joel Tomkins, Billy Twelvetrees, Ben Foden, Owen Farrell, Lee Dickson; Joe Marler, Dylan Hartley, David Wilson, Joe Launchbury, Courtney Lawes, Tom Wood, Chris Robshaw (captain), Billy Vunipola
Subs: Tom Youngs, Alex Corbisiero, Dan Cole, Geoff Parling, Ben Morgan, Danny Care, Toby Flood, Alex Goode

Key Player

Billy Twelvetrees.  Of course, the game-deciding battles will be up front, but when you're looking at individuals who need a big game, there is none who stands out more than Billy Twelvetrees.  Well, perhaps Chris Ashton, but we've been saying that for the last 18 months.  Rightly vilified for a terrible missed tackle on Matt Toomua that led to a try last week, he cut a frustrated figure in attack as Farrell and Dickson failed to gel.  He needs to focus on bringing Tomkins and his back 3 into the game with his distribution, as that's what he's in for.  Taking it one play at a time should bring out the best in a player who has been tipped in some quarters as England's next Will Greenwood…no pressure then.


Argentina Team News

New coach Daniel Hourcade has made five changes from the team crushed 54-17 by Australia in the Rugby Championship.   Full-back Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino, centre Santiago Fernandez and scrum-half Tomas Cubelli come into the side.   Amorosino replaces the injured Juan Martin Hernandez, Fernandez takes over from the now-retired Felipe Contepomi, while Cubelli has been preferred to Martin Landajo, with both nines playing their club rugby in the amateur Buenos Aires championship.  Maximiliano Bustos comes into the front row for injured prop Juan Figallo, while a late change sees Eusebio Guinazu retain his place after Agustin Creevy withdrew injured.   Further positional changes see brilliant youngster Pablo Matera move from open-side flanker to blind-side to cover the absent Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe, while Julio Farias Cabello switches from lock to open-side.  Number 8 Juan Manuel Lequizamon takes over the captaincy.

Starting Line-up:  Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino, Horacio Agulla, Marcelo Bosch, Santiago Fernandez, Juan Imhoff, Nicolas Sanchez, Tomas Cubelli; Marcos Ayerza, Eusebio Guinazu, Maximiliano Bustos, Mariano Galarza, Patricio Albacete, Pablo Matera, Julio Farias Cabello, Juan Manuel Leguizamon (captain).
Subs: Santiago Iglesias, Nahuel Lobo, Juan Pablo Orlandi, Manuel Carizza, Benjamín Macome, Martin Landajo, Gonzalo Tiesi, Santiago Cordero.

Key Player

Juan Manuel Leguizamon.  I've never been the biggest fan of the number 8 at club level – perhaps because whenever I see him my mind jumps back to his hilariously stupid bombed try for London Irish – but he does seem to do the business with an international jersey on.  He is a big physical presence and he will need to be mobile as well to make up for the loss of a man as influential as Lobbe.  We all know about the Pumas set piece power, but what we need to see from the back row to make them a threat is speed over the ground and intelligent running lines of Sanchez to really test the England defence.  Keep an eye out for new Leicester boy Pablo Matera as well – some raw talent on show.


Key Battle

David Wilson v Marcos Ayerza.  It's not sexy, it's not glamorous, and some would say that it's not even entertaining, but there can be no doubting the crucial battle will take place in the scrum – in particular the arm wrestle between Wilson and Ayerza.  Wilson has a great chance to stake a claim as a regular starter, but he will have to do it against one of the best looseheads in Europe.  Wilson hasn't always had it easy when scrummaging against Ayerza at club level, but the Bath tighthead has made a marked improvement and seems to have adjusted well to the new laws.  His job will be to hold his ground and ensure that Ayerza doesn't get underneath in, whilst simultaneously making life for hooker Eusebio Guinazu as uncomfortable as possible.  Easy.


Prediction

The Pumas certainly boast an impressive amount of experience within their ranks and it's hard to see them putting in a display as wet as the one that sunk to a miserable defeat to the Wallabies.  But, despite the deflated feel in a fairly unambitious line up, this England side still has the muscle and skillset to do the business against a Pumas side who must be struggling for form and confidence.  I don't expect a walkover – but the Twickenham faithful should be expecting a comfortable win, with at least a smidgeon of attacking finesse this time.  England by 16.

 

The autumn internationals get underway properly this weekend, let's see what's happening elsewhere:

Italy v Australia:  Despite the setback of last week, the Wallabies should have too much class for the Azurri – but their scrum will have to improve.  Australia by 7.

Scotland v Japan:  Japan are developing into a competitive outfit but it is difficult to see them making too many waves against a powerful Scotland side.  Scotland by 22.

Wales v South Africa:  In one of the games of the weekend, fireworks are promised at the Millennium Stadium.  With two sets of titanic forwards and gifted backs, this promises to be a nailbiter.  South Africa are well and truly warmed up though, after their Rugby Championship exploits.  South Africa by 5.

Ireland v Samoa:  In my view, Samoa have announced themselves as a top 8 side in world rugby so this will be a tricky – and bruising encounter – for the Irish.  Home advantage should see them through.  Ireland by 8.
 
Freance v New Zealand:  In another traditional thriller, the French look like they may once again be hindered by some questionable selections from Philippe Saint Andre.  Kiwis too strong.  All Blacks by 10.




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