Friday, 13 December 2013

Heineken Cup Preview - Harlequins v Racing Metro



Everybody loves a good David and Goliath story.  The small kid beating up the bully, the poor kid trumping the rich boy or literally anyone else taking the Christmas number one spot ahead of whatever has spewed out of the rear end of that grotesquely cringe-inducing 'talent show' that attacks our eyes and ears once a year.  Of course, in the world of rugby, those sorts of fairy tales are few and far between – if you're weaker than your opposition, you'll probably take a pasting and a pat on the back for a 'brave effort', at best.  It's the accepted way of things.  And that's why Connacht's win away against European powerhouses, Toulouse, is utterly remarkable.  Nobody, gave them a fart in the wind's chance of a win in France, but they came away with a thoroughly deserved victory.  But that's not my game of the week – I've reserved that for another, admittedly less obvious, David and Goliath tale that occurred last week.  I am of course talking about Harlequins' stunning win away in Nantes, against one of the aristocrats of French rugby, Racing Metro.

Sure, Quins were premiership champions a couple of seasons ago, and they are led by the England captain, but their squad is, by and large, full of home-grown (or at least nurtured) kids.  Racing Metro meanwhile, cheque books out, have acquired the services of, amongst others, the spine of British and Irish Lions side that conquered Australia, including 2 of the try scorers from the final test.  It was a game which, given current Heineken Cup form, Quins should not have been close to winning.  Instead, they not only beat the French outfit, they hammered them with a glorious display of the fast, offload-based rugby that makes Quins such a joy to watch in their pomp.  It was such a convincing win, with a bonus point, that the Racing owners were sufficiently humbled to remove their side's upcoming home games from the Stade de France, and downgrade to their traditional/smaller stadium, where they will have to 'earn the right' to play in front of 80,000 fans.

Of course, the victory was made all the more spectacular given the fact that this has been something of a comeback tale for the Londoners.  Woeful at home against the Scarlets, brave but inevitable losers away in Clermont, Quins' Heineken Cup chances were over.  Or were they?  Something stirred in the second half against Clermont – almost a release of the pressure they had placed on themselves – and that freedom to play high-risk rugby returned.  It's led to impressive domestic form, with Conor O'Shea's men climbing the Aviva Premiership and defeating Leicester at their Welford Road fortress in the process.  They have, of course, been plagued by their fair share of injuries, but in typical fashion seemed to have unearthed a couple of gems.  Joe Gray and Rob Buchanan out?  No problem, up steps Dave Ward, experienced sevens player with 'Lee Mears mark 2' written all over him – a real mongrel over the ball, he was magnificent in France last week.  Then there's the shrewd signing of ex-Gloucester man Tim Molenaar in the centres – the big Irishman may well be nicknamed Gandalf with his 'you shall not pass' mentality in defence.  And finally the emergence of young Charlie Walker has been a revelation in the shadow of injuries to Ugo Monye and Tom Williams – and an 'I told you so' moment for this blog, when his talents were proclaimed back in August.  His pace is staggering (watch the gap he opened up for his try last weekend) and is a lethal open field runner – the only thing he needs to ensure is that he catches the ball before thinking about how he's going to skin everyone.

Of course, it's easy to proclaim Quins, and rightly so after their display, but O'Shea will know that a very different beast crashes across the channel this weekend – and one hell-bent  on revenge for their humiliation 7 days ago.  The response to that defeat has been drastic, with Juan Martin Hernandez – who had a shocker in Nantes – the only man not to be axed, meaning experienced French internationals Benjamin Fall, Dimitri Szarzewski, Frabrice Estebanez and Maxime Machenaud are all either benched or chopped completely.  But that doesn't exactly mean there's a shortage of class in the Racing side coming to visit.  And with Lions heroes Dan Lydiate, Mike Phillips, Johnny Sexton and Jamie Roberts forming the backbone of the side, the Londoners will not be able to rely on the traditional French flakiness to win this one.  That 9, 10, 12 Lions axis is crucial, and Nick Evans and Danny Care will realise they won't be afforded the armchair ride they enjoyed last week.  Throw in experienced top-class performers Juan Martin Hernandez (his nightmare last week notwithstanding) and Sione Tonga'uiha, a smattering of French talent and a dollop of badly wounded pride, and you have a monster on the warpath coming to your home ground.  The Racing pack is big and powerful, and you can bet that, with Phillips and Roberts in the side, this will be no-frills rugby, with big runners clattering over the gainline and Johnny Sexton probing the corners.  It's a delightfully contrasting approach to Quins, who's order book should surely be "more of the same".

More of the same for Quins would throw this group wide open, and European qualification would again be on the cards.  But Goliath is on the warpath – and this time, he's angry.

 
Harlequins Team News

Harlequins have made one change to the starting XV with Tim Molenaar replacing the injured Tom Casson at inside centre for the visit of Racing Metro.   On the bench, Joe Gray makes his return from injury, with Ollie Lindsay-Hague also named among the replacements.

Starting Line-up:  15 Mike Brown, 14 Charlie Walker, 13 Matt Hopper, 12 Tim Molenaar, 11 Sam Smith, 10 Nick Evans, 9 Danny Care, 8 Nick Easter, 7 Chris Robshaw (c), 6 Luke Wallace, 5 George Robson, 4 Charlie Matthews, 3 Will Collier, 2 Dave Ward, 1 Joe Marler.
Subs: 16 Joe Gray, 17 Mark Lambert, 18 Paul Doran Jones, 19 Nick Kennedy, 20 Joe Trayfoot, 21 Karl Dickson, 22 Ben Botica, 23 Ollie Lindsay-Hague.

Key Player

Charlie Walker.  I'm loathe to pick a winger as a key player but, with the territory game that Racing are likely to employ, the entire back 3 must make sure that any loose kicks are punished severely.  Phillips especially has been, to be honest, ball-bruisingly bad with his box kicks, and his loose clearances against Australia 2 weeks ago were a chief reason behind his side's knack for inviting one of the world's most deadly back 3 to run it back at them.  And out of the Quins back 3, Walker holds the most aces.  After tearing it up in the JP Morgan 7s and the A League, the young flyer has been finding his feet for the 1st XV, but is now reaping the rewards.  Never shy of confidence to 'have a go', his acceleration and balance make him a lethal counter-attacker.  He must be ruthless on Sunday.  As a side point, if you're stuck for a drinking game at the weekend, why not try have a swig or two every time the commentator or cameraman mixes up Walker and Matt Hopper.  You won't remember the second half, but it'll be fun.

 
Racing Metro Team News

Racing have made wholesale changes to their team with Jonny Sexton and Mike Phillips teaming up in the halfbacks while fellow British and Irish Lion Dan Lydiate starts on the flank.  Full-back Juan Martín Hernández is the only survivor from the starting line-up that was thrashed last weekend.  Jamie Roberts makes his comeback after 3 months out with an ankle injury.

Starting Line-up:  15 Juan Martín Hernández, 14 Adrien Planté, 13 Henry Chavancy, 12 Jamie Roberts, 11 Virimi Vakatawa; 10 Jonny Sexton, 9 Mike Phillips, 8 Camille Gerondeau, 7 Antoine Battut (c), 6 Dan Lydiate, 5 Karim Ghezal, 4 Fabrice Metz, 3 Soane Tonga'uiha, 2 Virgile Lacombe, 1 Davit Khinchagishvili.
Subs: 16 Jeremie Maurouard, 17 Eddy Ben Arous, 18 Luc Ducalcon, 19 Juandre Kruger, 20 Bernard Le Roux, 21 Maxime Machenaud, 22 Jonathan Wisniewski 23 Benjamin Fall,

Key Player

Johnny Sexton.  Despite having all his features seemingly squashed into one square centimetre on his face, the Irish fly half is a general and a leader by his very nature, and will be essential to the Racing effort after they looked directionless at times last weekend.  He has a bruising back in front of him and two physical players in Roberts and Phillips on either side, so expect to see him playing very flat and looking to send the big boys into and over the home defence.  He'll also be aiming for the corners a lot to get his side into the right areas, but the key point will be if he can sense the flow of the game and no when to put boot to ball and when the pull the trigger – something he was king at for Leinster, but has not always shown for Ireland.


Key Battle

Danny Care v Mike Phillips.  I have to admit I sort of have a love/hate relationship with Care.  Cracking player, but offensively abysmal hair.  Phillips, on the other hand, I'm not a fan of.  Since 2009, where he was magnificent, he has done relatively little in club or international colours – he was poor for the Lions, average for Wales, and average for Burgoin, but it is attitude that gets me the most.  He spends most of his time now getting involved in spats, rather than concentrating on his game.  Anyway, personal opinions aside, Care will feel like he has a point to prove after missing out on Lions selection.  He'll have to temper his lightening break with patience to let the forwards offload to each other at pace to move forward, but he’ll need to stay on his toes so he is there to take advantage when the ball is flicked up to him with space out wide.  Phillips, on form, can be a formidable opponent though, with ultra-aggressive defence and a powerful running game that keeps defenders fixed and allows him to dispatch with the attentions of any interested backrower.  With momentum key for Harlequins, and territory key for Racing, both 9s must ensure that their accuracy is top drawer on Sunday.  Also, keep an eye out for any 'conversations' between Mike Brown and Philips.  It could get very tasty….


Prediction

There is no doubt in my mind that the Racing side that plays this week will offer a vastly more severe examination than they did last week, despite make wholesale changes to their team and bringing in many supposed 'second string' players.  With the experience and power they have in their side, it will be a physical test for the hosts – but it is one I am expecting them to pass.  With Roberts only just returning from injury, and Sexton, Phillips and Lydiate not in top form, there is an opportunity for the hosts to move their French counterparts round the park at a speed they cannot cope with.  Couple that with a lethal counter attacking threat, and I think we'll see the Londoners pull off another hugely significant win on Sunday…just don't expect as comfy a buffer this time though.  Quins by 8.


What else is happening is the 4th round of the Heineken Cup?

Ospreys v Castres:  French Champions Castres have been very flaky away from home this year and Ospreys should pick up their first win of the competition.

Glasgow v Cardiff:  Cardiff were superb last week but home advantage should be enough to see this talented Glasgow side pick up a win.

Leinster v Northampton Saints:  Despite the fact that it's impossible for Saints to be any more dominated than they were last week, I think that they may be in for a long afternoon in Cardiff.

Toulon v Exeter Chiefs:  The reigning champions struggled at Sandy park last week, but they should have no such problems in their own back yard.

Saracens v Zebre:  Bread and butter for the English side, who should pick up a bonus point against the Italian minnows.

Connacht v Toulouse:  Arguably the most intriguing fixture of the weekend.  Will Toulouse prove their class?  Connacht is a difficult place to win so I'm backing the Irish side for a famous double.

Scarlets v Clermont Auvergne:  Clermont are real class but have proven to be vulnerable on their travels.  A close one, but the visitors should just nick it.

Treviso v Ulster:  Treviso are a completely different prospect at home but, even so, I would expect Ulster to claim win, if not a bonus point win, in Italy.

Perpignan v Munster:  Perpignan were so comprehensively outplayed last week it's impossible to see how home advantage can turn that around for the French side.

Montpellier v Leicester Tigers:  Montpellier have 'done a Racing' and put a 2nd XV out for this, but Tigers' record in France is so poor it should be close.  I'm backing the visitors to pick up a crucial win.

Gloucester v Edinburgh:  After the morale boosting win in Scotland last week, I'm backing the West-Country side to take the spoils here.

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