Friday, 17 October 2014

Champions Cup Preview - Saracens v Clermont Auvergne


Doesn’t time fly when you’re having fun?  It doesn’t seem a moment ago that the English clubs were at war with the Celtic and Italian sides, tearing out each other’s throats whilst the French clubs flitted between the two sides like a particularly industrious lady of the night.  As it is now, we can happily refer to those times as “the good old days” and move into an unsettling new era where everyone seems to be getting along in a new format which the majority warily view as “fair”.
 
Of course, on the field, don’t expect too many to be getting along.  Especially not in this Saturday’s match up, between Saracens and Clermont.  Remember that certain sunny Twickenham day in April last year?  The Heineken Cup semi-final, previously tipped as a nail-biter, which ended up as probably the greatest display by an English side in Heineken Cup history, as Saracens obliterated their French rivals by 46 – 6.  Their defence simply annihilated the men in white, whilst their attack was fluency at its finest.  Clermont – unofficially the best side in Europe over the past 3 years – were humiliated.  And Jean-Marc Lhermet, sporting director of the French club, says it’s not about revenge.  Garbage.
 
Their backline – aside from their centres – may be completely different, but their pack is almost identical; and it was they who came off well and truly second best last year.  To say that revenge will not come into the psyche of any forward is to question their motivational – they will be hell-bent on hammering the London side on their own patch.  And they look in decent nick to do it too – after losing at home to Montpellier, ending their record-breaking winning streak, they have only lost once (away to Bordeaux) and sit 3 points clear at the summit of the Top 14.  A lot of their game is based on forward power now and less on the unpredictability which they had before – and so expect an organised and methodical approach to their play this Saturday...but that doesn’t mean it will be any less vicious.
 
Facing up to this rabble of angry Frenchmen will be a Saracens side who – along with Northampton and, to an extent, Bath – have looked very comfortable so far this season.  Their defence has been a little more leaky than they would have liked, but their attack is certainly firing on all cylinders, with well organised and dynamic forward play giving the arch-finishers out wide plenty of opportunities to sniff out the try line.  Sarries are no longer that team that made you want to claw your eyes out rather than watch them play – they’re efficient, powerful and clinical, and it is very impressive to see them firing on all cylinders.
 
And they’ll need to be firing on all cylinders at Allianz Park tomorrow.  Because, if the events of a year ago tell us one thing, it’s that these countries don’t really get along when they’re in a confined space.
 
 
Saracens Team News
 
McCall will be without injured front-row Kieran Longbottom, which paves the way for Petrus du Plessis to join Jamie George and Richard Barrington, while Alistair Hargreaves skippers the side from lock where he is joined by George Kruis.  Will Fraser returns to the side after a hamstring injury at openside flanker, alongside Kelly Brown and Billy Vunipola as Richard Wigglesworth partners Charlie Hodgson at half-back, with Brad Barritt and Chris Wyles linking up in midfield.  In the back three, Alex Goode returns to the side at full-back, with Chris Ashton and David Strettle starting on the wings.
 
Starting Line-up:15 Alex Goode; 14 Chris Ashton, 13 Chris Wyles, 12 Brad Barritt, 11 David Strettle; 10 Charlie Hodgson, 9 Richard Wigglesworth; 1 Richard Barrington, 2 Jamie George, 3 Petrus du Plessis, 4 George Kruis, 5 Alistair Hargreaves (c), 6 Kelly Brown, 7 Will Fraser, 8 Billy Vunipola.
Subs: 16 Schalk Brits, 17 Rhys Gill, 18 James Johnston, 19 Jim Hamilton, 20 Jackson Wray, 21 Neil de Kock, 22 Owen Farrell, 23 Marcelo Bosch.
 
Key Player
 
Will Fraser.  The young flanker returns to the side following another enforced absence which came along just when he was hitting his straps.  A lot of people have raised eyebrows that Jacques Burger – the human missile who spearheaded that remarkable performance at Twickenham – has been left out (I don’t believe he is injured), but for me it is exactly the right call.  Clermont would have been expecting that brutal and relentless physicality, but Fraser has more subtlety, speed and precision – he can steal ball and frustrate even the most efficient of packs.  The youngster has a huge task to keep this Clermont 8 quiet, but you can be sure he won’t shirk it.  All that said, I am surprised Mr Burger doesn’t make an appearance on the bench, however.
 
 
Clermont Auvergne Team News
 
The headline team news from the Clermont camp is the omission of Jonathan Davies, amid rumours a cohort of Wales internationals may be making a homecoming.  With central contracts now available to Wales coach Warren Gatland under the new Participation Agreement, speculation is rife regarding numerous Top 14 players and the decision to leave him out of the Saracens clash means he will not be cup-tied for Europe.  Although there is no Davies, livewire France centre Wesley Fofana does start in his absence, offering a dynamic edge to the Clermont attack.
 
Starting Line-up:  15 Nick Abendanon, 14 Noa Nakaitaci, 13 Aurelien Rougerie, 12 Wesley Fofana, 11 Zac Guildford, 10 Camile Lopez, 9 Ludovic Radosavljevic; 1 Thomas Domingo, 2 Benjam Kayser, 3 Davit Zirakashvili, 4 Jamie Cudmore, 5 Sebastien Vahaamahina, 6 Fritz Lee, 7 Julien Bonnaire, 8 Damien Chouly (c).
Subs: 16 John Ulugia, 17 Raphael Chaume, 18 Lement Ric, 19 Loic Jacquet, 20 Julien Bardy, 21 Brock James, 22 Thierry Lacrampe, 23 Benson Stanley.
 
Key Player
 
Fritz Lee.  Last year, the men in white looked shell-shocked as they were spanked all over the park like naughty little boys, with even the mighty Fritz Lee made to look like a lamb in comparison to the ravenous wolf pack.  Now, old Fritz is not the sort to take kindly to that treatment.  Expect the explosive Kiwi to be fired up for this one and to lead a brutal forward effort, with plenty of carries around the fringes.  The only problem is, that’s exactly where the wolf-pack like to defend...
 
 
Key Battle
 
George Kruis v Jamie Cudmore.  Anyone expecting a victory anything like the freakshow we saw last year will be in for a rude awakening – this game will be a tight affair that will probably be decided by three things:  accuracy with the boot, forward power and set-piece dominance.  These two guys will be crucial to the latter two.  The young Sarries lock is certainly the more athletic of the two and has the potential to cause plenty of problems in the lineout but he must also go toe-to-toe with the physicality offered by Cudmore, who is the engine room of this huge Clermont pack.  If he can match the big Canadian in the loose, then Clermont will not have many places to go.
 
 
Prediction
 
It’s a hard one to call, but I think it’s fair to say we won’t be saying a 40-odd point drubbing this time around.  Make no mistake, all the talk of revenge not being in the minds of Clermont players is utterly nonsense.  They were humiliated, and players of the calibre who play for the French giants will be well aware they have a score to settle.  Expect a brutal, physical encounter which could get feisty at times – but I think Saracens will prove too strong at home and pick up a crucial win.  Sarries by 6.
 

And in the other games in the first ever round of the Rugby Champions Cup?
 
 
Sale Sharks v Munster:  The Sharks are always difficult to beat in Salford but Munster have the nous and quality to claim a hard-fought win.  Munster by 8.
 
Harlequins v Castres:  Quins may not be firing on all cylinders, but neither are Castres.  And the French simply cannot travel.  Solid win for the hosts.  Quins by 12 points.
 
Leinster v Wasps:  Wasps look dangerous this season but Leinster have a point to prove and, in Dublin, they will be too strong.  Leinster by 14.
 
Leicester Tigers v Ulster:  Ulster should take advantage of the injury ravaged Tigers to claim a narrow win at Welford Road and continue their current hoodoo over the East Midland side.  Ulster by 4.
 
Toulon v Scarlets:  The Scarlets are unpredictable and have the ability to surprise many quality sides.  But not the reigning Champions.  Toulon by 24.
 
Glasgow Warriors v Bath:  Glasgow are in great form and will fancy their chances against the West Country outfit, but the visitors are playing some quality stuff and could steal a result.  Bath by 2.
 
Toulouse v Montpellier:  An all French affair and so the simplest thing to do is to go with the standard French rule – the home side always wins.  Toulouse by 7.
 
Racing Metro v Northampton Saints:  An incredibly hard one to call – Racing are a real challenge at home but Saints look very, very sharp.  I think they might pick up a crucial win.  Saints by 3.
 
Ospreys v Treviso:  It’s a top v bottom Pro12 clash, and I think the gulf in quality, form and confidence will show.  Ospreys by 21.
 
 

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