Here in the northern
hemisphere we don’t really like that Southern Hemisphere bunch. Look at them, always smugly beating us, playing
in pleasant conditions and entertaining us with their silky handling skills and
electric running. It’s unbearable. However, there is one very much appreciated
exception to the rule, and that’s England v Australia. An exception made all the sweeter by the fact
that, though both nations will hate to admit it, we’re very similar. Let’s look at the facts – we’re ungracious
winners, sore losers, we barbecue at every opportunity and we both have a
smaller, irritating neighbour that beats us in rugby on a regular basis. But, of late, it’s been England who have had
the nudge on their great rivals from down under.
There are so many classic
England v Australia clashes – too many to list off here. Aside from the two World Cup finals, there’s
been games like the 2007 quarter final, where the Australian set piece was
obliterated by Andy Sheridan, or the 2010 thriller where England – and Chris
Ashton – really cut loose. And the build
up seems to always be the same – it’s England’s big, grumpy pack against the
Wallabies’ free flowing and skilful backline.
But the fixture always throws up the odd surprise, whether it was
England’s back play in 2010 or the Wallaby scrum in 2012, somebody always
upsets the odds and makes a big impression.
But one area where there is
plenty of difference this weekend is in the pressure stakes, with England
expected to win in what is effectively the World Cup warm up, seeing as we’re
10 months away from the ‘big one’ in the rugby’s showpiece event. That pressure has been ratcheted up a couple
of notches after the hosts have suffered 5 defeats in their last 6 games (admittedly
with those defeats coming to New Zealand and South Africa), whilst new coach
Michael Cheika has the benefit of a ‘honeymoon phase’, where he can experiment
with his side without suffering the pressure from bad results. Who that benefits more, I don’t know, but
what we do know is that this fixture is never dull and the result is always
hard to call. Unlike most Southern v
Northern games.
NB It would be amiss to not mention or show our respects
to Phil Hughes, who lost his life after being injured playing cricket in
Australia. It puts the drama of these
games into perspective and the sporting world as a whole sends their thoughts
out to his loved ones. You can be sure
the Wallabies will be playing for him as well this afternoon.
England Team News
England have dropped Owen
Farrell for Billy Twelvetrees as one of three changes to the starting XV that
dispatched Samoa. Kyle Eastmond, who
started the series at inside centre, is curiously overlooked again. Farrell has been left out for the first time
since June 2012 after under-performing this autumn and is demoted to the bench.
Twelvetrees is selected at inside centre, while Dylan Hartley replaces Rob
Webber at hooker and Tom Wood comes in at blind-side flanker for James Haskell.
Starting Line-up:
15-Brown, 14-Watson,
13-Barritt, 12-Twelvetrees, 11-May, 10-Ford, 9-B Youngs; 1-Marler, 2-Hartley,
3-Wilson, 4-Attwood, 5-Lawes, 6-Wood, 7-Robshaw (captain), 8-Morgan
Subs:
16-Webber, 17-Mullan, 18-Brookes, 19-Kruis, 20-Haskell, 21-Wigglesworth,
22-Farrell, 23-Yarde
Key Player
Billy Twelvetrees. The Gloucester man hasn’t been playing badly
for his club, but neither has he been in top nick. That being said, he impressed when he came on
against Samoa last weekend and – at the end of the day – he is a natural 12 as
opposed to a fly-half playing out of position.
He’s up against Matt Toomua, a bloke who seems to have a bit of a hoodoo
over the ex-Tigers centre – he obliterated Twelvetrees in the Brumbies v Lions
tour match in 2013 and then ran over him to score in the Autumn Internationals. Twelvetrees has to make sure his defence is
up to scratch and concentrate on doing the basics well – his problems often come
when he feels he has to force his (considerably varied and talented) game to
try and force opportunities.
There are three changes to
the Australia side that started the defeat by Ireland last weekend. Lock Rob Simmons comes in to earn his 50th
cap, while youngster Sean McMahon returns at blindside flanker. With Tevita Kuridrani unavailable because of
an ankle injury, Adam Ashley-Cooper switches from winger to outside centre,
allowing Rob Horne to start in the number 14 shirt.
Starting Line-up:
15-Folau, 14-Speight
13-Ashley-Cooper, 12-Toomua, 11-Horne, 10-Foley, 9-Phipps; 1-Slipper,
2-Faingaa, 3-Kepu, 4-Carter, 5-Simmons, 6-McMahon, 7-Hooper (captain),
8-McCalman
Subs: 16-Hanson,
17-Robinson, 18-Alexander, 19-Skelton, 20-Jones, 21-White, 22-Cooper, 23-Beale
Key Player
Sean McMahon. The name may sound unfamiliar to many English
fans (unless you happen to follow Super Rugby closely or were big fans of
wrestling 10 years ago...) but the youngster has all the assets to become a
fixture in the international side for the next decade. A blindside flanker in the classic mould, the
20 year old was a huge hit for the Rebels this year and it earned him the
Australian conference ‘Rookie of the Year’ award. Big, physical and mobile, he’ll be coming up
against an England pack that has been impressive with their aggressive
physicality so far this autumn – he’ll have to match up to that to get his side
a foothold in the loose.
Key Battle
Chris Robshaw v Michael
Hooper. It won’t have escaped Hooper’s attention
– or world rugby’s, for that matter – that a certain Mr Pocock is nearing full
fitness back down under after nearly 2 years out with consecutive knee
problems. The Brumbies star is – or was –
regarded as one of the finest opensides on the planet, but Hooper is now surely
right up there too. He’s perhaps not as
devastating over the ball as Pocock, but his carrying and general work rate set
him out as a class above. He’ll be
trying to nullify Robshaw, England’s skipper, most consistent performer and a man
who is, in many ways, a similar player.
Both men love to get their hands on the ball and try to influence the game
– and they often do, so today’s result may hinge on simply who puts in the
bigger shift out of these two work-horses.
Out of all the southern
hemisphere nations, Australia is the one that England seem to have the most joy
against, and there is a reason behind that.
Aside from the well-publicised set piece dominance (which doesn’t occur
as often as you’d think), England’s pack
simply seem to be able to bully their counterparts in the tight exchanges. There are a lot of positives to take so far
from Cheika’s reign – such as inventiveness and incision out wide – but I’m not
sure that physical dominance is one of them.
This is a critical game for England and I think they’ll raise their game
accordingly, even though Wallabies will be emotionally charged after this week. Another close one, but England should – and must
– edge it. England by 6.
Wales v South Africa: My full preview of this potential nail-biter is up here: http://www.therugbyblog.com/autumn-internationals-2014-wales-vs-south-africa-prediction, but suffice to say that I have a nasty feeling that the Welsh will be in for another weekend of heartbreak. South Africa by 4.