Thursday, 11 September 2014

Premiership Preview - Harlequins v Saracens


I came in for a little bit of stick this week for not focusing on the London double-header more in the opening weekend (I was just as surprised as any to see that somebody had actually paid attention) but to make up for it, there’s little doubt that the big game this week is between two of the capital’s powerhouses.  And, at the risk of becoming even more unpopular, I’ve come round to thinking that it’s as close to having a ‘good-guys v bad-guys’ face-off as you can get in the Premiership.  In terms of rugby style, anyway.

Look at Harlequins.  They’re quick, skillfull, brave in how they play – when in full swing, they almost strut through rugby matches with the dashing and confident charm that your standard Disney prince would have in abundance.  Then you could look at Saracens – powerful, dominant, ruthless.  The tyrants of the league for so much of last year, you wouldn’t be surprised if they hired Sauron as a motivational speaker.  Yes, at first glance, it seems so black and white.  But it isn’t really.

Don’t get me wrong, Quins have some sublime runners in their ranks – Marland Yarde, Ollie Lindsay-Hague and Charlie Walker, for example – but they have some real Orcs chucked in there as well.  Joe Marler, George Robson and Nick Easter all know how to handle themselves, and last week they had to grind their way to a win in a real snoozefest at Twickenham.  That followed a mesmeric and pant-wettingly exciting encounter between Sarries and Wasps, where the men in black picked up a try bonus point with some intelligent, clinical and entertaining rugby.  Yes, just because Saracens like to bully teams doesn’t mean they can’t chuck it about a bit either. 

But despite the fact that things may not be as clear cut as first thought, we can’t hide away from the fact that Friday’s game is very much going to be about Quins’ frantic offloading game against Sarries’ brutal power, despite the fact that both sides are more than capable of mixing it up.  It’s what they’re best at, and they shouldn’t shy away from it.  Because in the Premiership, there are no good guys or bad guys. 

Only winners...and the rest.

 
Harlequins Team News

Harlequins director of rugby Conor O'Shea makes one change to the side which beat London Irish, with Ollie Lindsay-Hague replacing Ugo Monye.  Wing Monye requires surgery on a groin injury and is set to be out for three months, but Charlie Walker is named among the replacements.

Starting Line-up:  Brown; Yarde, Hopper, Turner-Hall, Lindsay-Hague; Evans, Care; Marler (capt), Gray, Sinckler; Matthews, Robson; Wallace, Robshaw, Easter.
Subs: Buchanan, Lambert, Collier, Merrick, Clifford, Dickson, Botica, Walker.

Key Player

Danny Care.  The dynamo scrum half was nowhere near his terrier-like best last weekend, but there’s no doubt that he is key to his side’s hopes on Friday night.  Despite some early season rustiness last week, that Sarries defence will soon tighten up like a millionaire’s daughter’s chastity belt and it will be moments of invention – and quickness of thought – which will create the gaps for Quins to attack.  Care has to get his decisions right and know when to stick and when to twist.

 
Saracens Team News

Mark McCall has also chosen to make just the one side that squeezed past Wasps last week, swapping around last week’s bench warmer Jackson Wray and blindside flanker Kelly Brown.

Starting Line-up:  Goode; Ashton, Taylor, Barritt, Strettle; Hodgson, Wigglewsorth; Barrington, George, Longbottom; Kruis, Hargreaves (capt); Wray, Fraser, Vunipola.
Subs: Spurling, Gill, Du Plessis, Botha, Brown, Spencer, Farrell, Wyles.

Key Player

Kieran Longbottom.  He might not be the most glamorous player – or have the most glamorous name – but he will have a crucial role to play as the anchor for the Saracens pack.  Signed from the Force over the summer, Longbottom is a hard-working and hard-hitting tighthead who had a rising stock in Australia changing hemispheres.  He’s also a reasonable scrummager, but his ability in that department will be severely tested when he takes on the much improved Joe Marler at scrum-time.  Sarries need set piece dominance for their game to function; they need Longbottom to cause Marler some problems.

 
Key Battle

Chris Robshaw v Will Fraser.  Who knows where Will Fraser would be now if he hadn’t had a nightmare run of injuries last season?  In 2012-13, he was phenomenal and our player of the season, but this time round he’s playing catch up after spending most of the last year on the treatment table.  His opponent on Friday night is the England skipper, and the ultimate barometer on where he is.  Both men are top-quality all-round opensides – they can pinch ball, make tackles, act as a link man and carry a bit too.  Robshaw, though, has the ability to run his opponents off the park, and if Quins are to find fluency to their attacking game, they need him to be more visible than his youthful opposite number.

Prediction

This one strikes me as a horrible one to call.  The Stoop on a Friday night is always a tricky place to play, but if any side can poop the party it’s Sarries.  Both sides looked rusty in their opening encounters but, for me, the visitors have less to fix.  We know their defence is usually as watertight as a mermaid’s brassiere (to coin a phrase from Blackadder), and so I don’t think they’ll be leaking scores like last week, but they also looked clinical in attack, whilst Quins struggled for fluency all game.  If Quins can win that initial contact, they have a great chance of causing Saracens some real problems – but, otherwise, I can see the hosts getting bullied out of this one.   Close call, but Sarries by 5.

 
Let’s take a look at the other fixtures taking place this weekend...

Bath v London Welsh:  The West Country side looked pretty smooth as they despatched of Sale last week, whilst Welsh were frankly shambolic.  A big home win may be on the cards here.  Bath by 30.

Gloucester v Sale Sharks:  There is no doubting the Cherry and White’s quality on paper but they will take time to gel – as shown by their drubbing at Franklin’s Gardens.  However, the Sharks didn’t really impress me last week either and I think the hosts could sneak a first win here.  Gloucester by 2.

Exeter Chiefs v Leicester Tigers:  It’s hard to know just how good Chiefs were last week, but we do know the Tigers will need to be on top of their game to get a win at Sandy Park.  I think they had a sterner test last week and should be in better shape to take a win in a tight encounter.  Tigers by 6.

Wasps v Northampton Saints:  The traditional opening-day heartbreak continued for Wasps last year and they seem to have a habit of losing bravely.  Saints aren’t the sort to have sympathy, though, and I suspect they’ll come away with a hard earned win.  Keep an eye out for North v Wade, too.  Saints by 5.

Newcastle Falcons v London Irish:  Irish showed plenty of solidarity last week without finding a cutting edge, whist Falcons showed some very encouraging and enterprising signs against the Tigers.  At home, on a new 4G pitch, I think the hosts could pinch it.  Falcons by 4.

PS  If you need psyching up for another weekend of Premiership Rugby (and also because I feel I haven’t plugged this enough) then take a look at our second edition of Crash Bang Wallop:


 

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