Tuesday, 25 June 2013

Preview - Melbourne Rebels v British & Irish Lions



The calm before the storm.  That famous phrase comes to mind when talking before a mid-week, inter-Lions Test match between the dirt-trackers and a provincial side.  Or, after the game we’ve just seen, perhaps the calm after the storm would be more appropriate.  Somehow, a game that would have had us all clamouring for selection hints and ideas on combinations now seems about as interesting as a paint-drying competition contested by accountants.  Or so it would seem – this is, after all, a Lions tour and there is still a heck of a lot to play for in this one.

The Rebels are still the babies of Aussie rugby.  I say the babies, but they’ve overtaken the Force in terms of bank-backing and league position this year and, despite a mixed season where an embarrassing 70-point hammering against the Sharks and a home-loss to whipping boys the Kings were followed up by back-to-back wins over the Stormers and the Wartahs.  It’s a bit hit-and-miss as to which Rebels side will show up, but when they do, they can give anybody a run for their money.  They’re also only missing 4 Wallabies, and although guys like James O’Connor, Scott Higginbotham, Kurtley Beale and Nick Phipps are hard to replace, they’ve actually played some of their best rugby this year without their ‘big stars’.  I’m not quite sure what that says about their key players, but the Rebels have made a habit of forcing tight games through a frantic and committed defence which forces turnovers and a strong and mobile pack which is more than capable of outmuscling any opponent – and the big boys in the Melbourne side will be hungry to make their own statement and piece of history against the tourists, especially since their rivals, the Brumbies managed to do a job on them.

The Lions’ mid-weekers meanwhile, will know that there are still potential Test squad spots up for grabs, especially with somebody going down crocked almost every other day it seems.  The likes of Richard Hibbard, Dan Lydiate, Sean O’Brien and Manu Tuilagi all have decent shouts and making headway and it seems like the team spirit amongst the squad is such that there will be no half-measures in this game.  With Tuilagi back in the side, the team has a much more ‘Gatlandball’ look about it, unlike against the Brumbies, when Billy Twelvetrees was forced into the crash ball role.  With Brad Barritt and Manu Tuilagi, in particular, forming an ultra-physical midfield, you can be sure that the side won’t lack for momentum when it comes taking on the Rebels on the gainline.  Also, having a bloke at 10 who has actually played more than 1 professional game at fly half is always a bonus. 

This may not be the main event, but this is still a Lions tour, and this is still the scalp that every side wants.  It may seem calm now, but by Tuesday night, a storm will be brewing.


Rebels Team News

The Rebels are missing four Wallabies but include three capped players in their match-day squad, with scrum-half Luke Burgess starting his first game on his return from France, and former Wales international Gareth Delve leading the side from number eight.

Starting Line up:  Jason Woodward; Tom English, Mitch Inmar, Rory Sidey, Lachlan Mitchell; Bryce Hegarty, Luke Burgess; Nic Henderson, Ged Robinson, Laurie Weeks, Cadeyrn Neville, Hugh Pyle, Jarrod Saffy, Scott Fuglistaller, Gareth Delve (capt).
Subs: Pat Leafa, Cruze Ah-Nau, Paul Alo-Emilie, Luke Jones, Jordy Reid, Nic Stirzaker, Angus Roberts, Cooper Vuna.

Key Player

Hugh Pyle.  The lanky second row has been a revelation this season, touching down for 3 tries already.  He is surprisingly strong in the tackle and his inspector gadget arms have proven to be a useful weapon, not only in reaching for the try line but also in getting his hands free to offload behind defenders.  He’ll also be well aware that one of the few areas where the Rebels can genuinely pressurise the Lions is in the lineout, with Richard Hibbard and substitute Rory Best enduring tricky times on their throws of late.  If Pyle can get in front of the Lions’ jumpers, then it may just plant some seeds of doubt in tourists’ minds – and we all saw what happened when the lineout fell apart against the Brumbies.


Lions Team News

Wales flanker Dan Lydiate will lead the British & Irish Lions against the Melbourne Rebels on Tuesday night after the latest injury crisis to hit the squad forced them into a late change.  England lock Geoff Parling was set to lead the Lions into their final midweek clash at AAMI Park but was withdrawn on the eve of the game following an injury to fellow second row Paul O'Connell. Parling looks set to replace O'Connell in the Test side for Saturday's showdown at the Etihad Stadium while Wales lock Ian Evans is promoted from the bench to fill the void in the team that will line-up against the Rebels. The late switch follows another change to the original side that saw Ireland and Ulster prop Tom Court drafted onto the replacements' bench for Mako Vunipola, who is being rested as cover for Test prop Alex Corbisiero who is battling a calf injury suffered in the Lions' first Test triumph at the weekend.   Centre Manu Tuilagi is back for his first game since suffering shoulder injury against the Reds back on June 8 and will partner England colleague Brad Barritt in midfield. Rob Kearney is named at fullback, linking with Simon Zebo and Sean Maitland in the back three.

Starting Line up: Rob Kearney; Sean Maitland, Manu Tuilagi, Brad Barritt, Simon Zebo; Owen Farrell, Conor Murray; Ryan Grant, Richard Hibbard, Dan Cole, Richie Gray, Ian Evans, Dan Lydiate (capt), Sean O'Brien, Toby Faletau.
Subs: Rory Best, Tom Court, Matt Stevens, Tom Croft, Justin Tipuric, Ben Youngs, Billy Twelvetrees, Stuart Hogg.

Key Player

Manu Tuilagi.  The Leicester centre has had a frustrating tour, playing a grand total of 95 minutes.  He put in an impressive display against the Western Force before an injury against the Reds forced him off before he could have an impact in that game, and he will be keen to make up for lost time.  He will be well aware that Gatland’s game plan demands having at least one centre who can make serious yardage on the carry, and that the Lions backline doesn’t quite seem to function without the likes of Roberts or Tuilagi trucking the ball up on first phase.  A big and busy performance here will not only keep the Rebels’ defenders interested and the Lions on the front foot, but will also give Gatland a serious selection headache heading into the second test.


Key Battle

Gareth Delve v Toby Faletau.  Gareth Delve is a name that will ring familiar with many northern hemisphere fans – especially the Welsh.  The former Gloucester and Wales number 8 made the move down under with Danny Cipriani when the Rebels were first set up – but unlike the self-styled ‘flash’ fly-half, the number 8 won the respect of his peers and the fans with his bravery, dedication and general reluctance to act like a complete tit.  As captain, he is less of a powerful ball carrying number 8 but more of a glue that holds the side together – at times he seems to be everywhere, taking the hard yards, making his tackles, offloading into space.  Of course, he will be up for another grafter in the shape of Faletau, but the current incumbent of the Welsh number 8 shirt has that little more zip to his play and his work rate and carrying will be crucial for the Lions.  If Delve can tie his man down into a personal battle, however, the Lions may find that they will lose a bit of fluency and, if the game gets scrappy, anything can happen.

 
Prediction

After the hype of a Test match it seems odd to come back to the midweek games, but make no mistake, this will be a physical contest.  With both sides containing hard, physical players there will be no shortage of big hits and, whilst the Lions players will be looking for one last big shift to force themselves into Test contention, the Rebels will be fired up to prove that they are not simply a forgettable undercard to the second Test in Melbourne on Saturday...or indeed the State of Origin on Wednesday.  But the Lions will have too much experience and too much class throughout their ranks, and I can see them breaking down the Rebels as the game wears on – despite the Melbourne outfit proving to be a stubborn side and surprising several ‘big’ teams this year.  Lions by 15.
 

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