Thursday, 14 March 2013

Six Nations Breakdown - Round 4


It wasn’t pretty, it wasn’t always effective, and it wasn’t even always particularly engaging, but another weekend of rugby has passed and six teams are one step closer to discovering their destiny in this year’s tournament.  Let’s see how they got on:

 
Scotland

What Happened?

A return to the bad old days, unfortunately, of being the ‘valiant losers’.  In an absolutely turgid encounter at Murrayfield, Scotland managed to create zero scoring opportunities, instead relying on the accurate, if limited, boot of Greg Laidlaw.  The Scots have an absolutely lethal back 3 but once again they were starved of possession, with the home side content to let the visitors dictate the play by only committing 1 man, or none at all, to a defensive ruck in order to maximise numbers in their defensive line.  The end result of this was that Wales, like Ireland, Italy and England before them, were able to enjoy long periods of unpressured possession which will always eventually wear down a defence, no matter how many numbers you have there.  With the little possession Scotland did have, they were content to kick it away which, given the conditions, was not the worst idea, but utterly pointless if they weren’t going to pressurise the Welsh possession.

The Winners

·         Greg Laidlaw – the scrum half is his country’s chief point scorer, and without him Scotland would seriously struggle.  Is Chris Paterson-esque in terms of being deadly accurate, without having a particularly long range.

·         Duncan Weir – The stocky fly half made his full debut and did enough to suggest he may become a fixture in the side, showing a lot of composure under pressure and kicking intelligently from hand as well.

The Losers

·         Euan Murray – The powerful prop was given a rough old time by Paul James, especially in the first half.  He’s not the most mobile of players so if he is to justify his place in the team, he has to ensure his set piece is flawless.  It wasn’t.

·         Richie Gray – It’s been a very quiet 6 Nations for the talented lock.  It looks like the move to Sale has dented his confidence and he needs to re-evaluate what he wants to do to rediscover his form again.  He hasn’t been playing badly but we all know the impact he can have, but his tournament was summed up when a hamstring injury cut his game short.

What’s next?

A trip to Paris used to be daunting, but there must be a temptation to scoff at that now, given the way the French have been playing.  But the Scottish need to be concerned about their performance and the way they have allowed teams to dictate possession.  If they do that against the French, Les Bleus will grow in confidence and then who knows what they will come out with.  If, on the other hand, the Scots are aggressive and contest possession, it will rattle the French – as they were rattled against Ireland on Saturday.  It will also mean that even if the French do retain possession, it will be messy or slow ball, which is so much easier to defend against.  If the Scots want to win, they have to pressurise the French breakdown so they can get a greater share of the possession...otherwise they may find a nasty surprise waiting for them in Paris.


Wales

What happened?

Recovery complete.  Their third tricky away win on the bounce (and their 5th consecutive away victory in the Six Nations) in Scotland has meant that the men in red have recovered from an appalling first 40 minutes against Ireland and the 7 consecutive losses before that to give themselves a genuine shot at the title.  It wasn’t pretty – none of the wins have been – but nobody in Wales will care because this side has shown an unbelievable amount of character to come back the way they have.  There was still a distinct lack of creativity – perhaps enforced by the awful weather – but their pack was aggressive and quick to the breakdown, bullying the Scots into conceding penalties which the metronomic (aside from brief blip) Leigh Halfpenny slotted from all over the park with glee.  Their defence was as solid as a rock too, and they now haven’t conceded a try in 3 games – a superb record that will be put to the test in a somewhat significant game next week.

 

The Winners

·         Alun Wyn Jones – The veteran lock returned from injury as if he had never been away, getting into Scottish faces and making a real nuisance of himself at the breakdown.  A massive plus to have him back in the side

·         Sam Warburton – The ex-Captain made a welcome return to the starting lineup and to form after roughly a year out of sorts.  Three turnovers showed that he may be back to his ball snaffling best, and a big performance against Chris Robshaw will be enough to get him back on the plane to Oz this summer

·         Leigh Halfpenny – His boot was a huge plus in the penalty-fest that took place on Saturday.  The fact he can boot them from anywhere in the opposition half was one of the major differences between the teams and may well be crucial next week.

The Losers

·         Jamie Roberts – I’m sure you’re as bored of hearing it as I am of saying it, but can the real Jamie Roberts please stand up?  Utterly anonymous once again aside from a couple of obvious handling errors.  Defensively he is very solid but we know he can be so much better than this.

·         Mike Phillips – This is purely a personal and non-objective point, but I just pure don’t like the bloke and I’m pretty sure most people (even most Welsh fans feel the same).  He played reasonably (an improvement in his performance levels this Championship) but what is it with all this pathetic mouthing off and shoving he gets involved with?  I know, it’s part of his “competitive nature”, but just play rugby mate.

What’s Next?

Some little game in Cardiff against England to decide the Championship.  If Wales win by 8 points, or by 7 providing England don’t score 2 tries more than them, then they retain the Championship and can celebrate one of the more unlikely comebacks the tournament’s history.  Let’s not forget they were completely written off after their opening match against Ireland.  They’ll be facing an England team that has stuttered of late but is still going for a first Grand Slam in a decade – but they are inexperienced, with over 10 of the squad never having experienced the cauldron of international rugby at the Millennium Stadium before.  To this end, Wales will have to increase their intensity even further and force the English to panic and make mistakes – although they haven’t won at home in their last 5 games so they will be feeling the pressure as well.  They also need to look at getting more creativity in their back play – getting quick ball into the hands of Cuthbert and North – because this England side is fairly well disciplined and they’ll struggle to rely on Halfpenny.

 
Ireland

What happened?

They managed to blow a decent lead to the flappy French in awful conditions in Dublin, earning themselves a draw that would still have felt like a huge disappointment to the supporters and the players in particular.  Once again, as against Wales, they put in a dominant first 40 minutes, smashing back the French in the contact with a series of huge drives – one which travelled nearly 20 metres and another which earned them a try through Jamie Heaslip.  A smart tactical kicking game was also helping them get into the right areas, but after the break the intensity and composure left them and they let the visitors back into the match.  The only reason for this was a drop in aggression and compensation, allied with some curious substitutions by coach Declan Kidney (he must have been sitting too close to his French counterpart, it’s contagious), which saw the French pack given a foothold they should never have attained. 

The Winners

·         Mike McCarthy – Aggressive performance from the big lock, making a lot of yards in the tackle and getting stuck into the rough stuff.  Would have absolutely loved the weather when he drew back his curtains on the morning of the game.

·         Connor Murray – the scrum half has been short of his best this Six Nations but was the man ordering the dominant Irish pack about in the first half, as well using his refined boot to gain territory to good effect and take the pressure off his young halfback partner.

·         Paddy Jackson – The kid from Ulster was under a lot of pressure after last week and responded in the best way with a mature and composed display.  Nudged over some difficult kicks and also showed a decent boot with the ball in hand.

The Losers

·         Declan Kidney – Must be seriously worrying about whether his contract will be renewed.  Ireland have regressed over the last few weeks and have failed to win at least 2 games you felt they had in the bag.  Obviously the leaders on the park must do more to address this, but why on earth did Kidney substitute a man in a key position (scrum half) who was having a stormer?!  His days may be numbered.

·         Eoin Reddan – Harsh perhaps, as he did nothing wrong when he came off the bench, but couldn’t deliver Murray’s level of quality service and tactical kicking – although the pack were going backwards by this point.  And to top off an already difficult few minutes, there’s a chance he may have broken his leg.  A bad-luck cameo, but all the best for his recovery.

What's Next?

The men in Green will head to Rome to face Italy in what could be a very tricky game for them.  They have a real chance to finish on a high but you just sense that the confidence and killer instinct from this undoubtedly talented side is just not there at the moment.  So how do they get it back?  Well, first off, the attack needs sorting out.  Too many times runners take the ball into contact by themselves, meaning that they have nobody to offload to (the key line-breaking skill) or anyone to ruck over quickly to provide fast ball.  They will need to work on this if they want to get in behind the Italians on Saturday.


France

What happened?

Zut alors, the French didn’t lose!  Although that will make a welcome change, the realisation that this was a mere draw and the performance was once again sub-standard will come as a sobering reminder of the problems this French team face.  After being dominated up front for the first half, the  French played some physical stuff of their own in the second and scored a decent try – but with the pack the French have, they shouldn’t be getting dominated by anyone.  For the first 40 it once again seemed to be Picamoles alone who was pulling his not inconsiderable weight, whilst in the backs there was once again indecision and a lack of punch, thanks in part to the selection of Frederic Michalak at fly half.  The 10 showed some decent moments – such as landing an important kick – but can someone explain to me what Trinh Duc did to merit being dropped for this flake?!  

The Winners

·         Louis Picamoles – Along with Sergio Parisse, the best number 8 in Europe right now.  He is just so aggressive and powerful, he will always leave a significant impact on a game – and he did again today.

·         Yoann Huget – The Toulouse man has always been a talented runner but on Saturday he answered questions about his skills as a fullback by giving an assured performance under the high ball in awful conditions

The Losers

·         Frederic Michalak – He didn’t have an awful game, but where is the flair, where is the running threat?  And what on earth was he thinking when he kicked the ball away in the last play of the game?

·         Philippe Saint-Andre – Sorry Phil, a draw won’t be enough to save your job post-six nations, buddy.  Better get on the jobcentre.

What's Next?

The French have one final shot at redemption against the stubborn Scots in Paris, and it’s a game they really should win.  The Scottish have gifted their opposition around 65% possession in each match they’ve played this season, and will undoubtedly extend that generosity to the French on Saturday.  Saint-Andre must realise that his backline looks far more threatening with Francois Trinh-Duc playing fly half – not only is the Montpellier 10 a more reliable player, he is also more aggressive and stands more flat than his rival.  This positioning will be critical if Les Bleus want to draw in the numerous Scottish defenders to create the gaps out wide.  As for the pack, once again Captain Thierry Dusautoir needs to make a step up – the game against his Scottish counterpart is one of the clashes of the weekend and whoever comes out on top will go a long way to winning his side the game.


England

What happened?

Well, they’re still on for the Grand Slam.  That was about the only real positive to pull out of the game against Italy at Twickenham on Sunday after they produced a shockingly inaccurate display where they butchered chance after chance, especially in the first half.  It wasn’t for lack of ambition – indeed, there was some reasonably quick ball, flat passes and plenty of width – but there was no real intelligence in what was being done; it was all fairly predictable.  There’s nothing wrong with a pick and go or an inside ball once in a while to suck defenders in and keep the opposition on their toes, but the men in white seemed obsessed with chucking it wide at the first opportunity.  By the end, there was little doubt that their minds were on the Grand Slam game in Cardiff the following weekend.  In terms of positives, their defence was generally pretty solid, although the Welsh will provide a far sterner test, but this was the game they were supposed to pile on the points so they couldn’t be caught in the Championship.  Mission failed, in that regard.

The Winners

·         Dan Cole – Held up his side of the scrum very well and earned his side at least 6 points, as well as winning 3 turnovers throughout the game.  He could be the poster boy of tightheads...if only he didn’t look like a chunky Victor Meldrew.

·         Mike Brown – The pick of the English backs, one break in particular caught the eye, where he left Venditti for dead.  Should he have passed inside to Ashton though?  Don’t worry Mikey, nobody’s doing that at the moment.

·         Tom Croft – Not a spectacular appearance but a welcome sight none the less.  Shocking to hear that he could have been paralysed 10 months ago, but incredible to see him back in the white of England.  Tip of the cap to you, sir.

The Losers

·         Danny Care – chance blown.  A couple of stupid offloads and loopy passes didn’t showcase the best of his skills, but his negative-yardage box kick was the crowning turd of an achievement in a poor performance.  He’s a much, much better player than this and will be kicking himself for not laying down a marker.

·         Alex Goode – Went walkabout for McLean’s try and managed to butcher a 4 on 1 overlap.  Really not good enough from England’s second playmaker.  He needs a big game soon as Brown wants that fullback jersey.

·         Chris Ashton – Not a terrible game for the winger, and got himself into a couple of decent positions, but things just aren’t falling for him at the moment and he could have done with a try to get the press off his back.

What's Next?

The big one.  England head to Wales with a huge amount of pressure in an almost winner-takes-all clash.  I say almost, because it’s not quite that clear cut.  As explained above, if England win or lose by less than 7, they win the Championship (and obviously the Grand Slam should they defeat their hosts) – anything else will see the Welsh nick it.   That latter option is a truly sickening thought for any Englishman and you can bet your bottom British pound sterling that Stuart Lancaster will have his men fired up and focused for this.  The key is to not let the emotion drown out the game plan of fast, aggressive rugby that makes yards in close and earns the right to spread to the ball wide.  Against the All Blacks, England were impressive in the close quarters, winning their contact battles, and this step was missing against Italy.  The English need to rediscover this formula quickly, or the mother of all horrors will await in Cardiff – a smug Welsh victory.

 
Italy

What happened?

It would seem that expectation doesn't sit too comfortably for the Azzurri, rather like their opposition at Twickenham on Sunday.  After two poor performances in games in which many had tipped them for the win, the Italians were back to being the resounding underdogs for their match against England.  And guess what?  They showed up.  Sure, some of their attacking play, especially in the first half, was a bit lateral, but they still played with a significant intensity and bite that was missing from their last two performances and they did enjoy two moments of inspiration from Sergio Parisse, when his inside pass nearly sent Zanni clear, and Luciano Orquera, who set up his team's try with a glorious kick.  Defensively, they still looked vulnerable out wide, but luckily the English were too imprecise and sloppy to take advantage of it – and a first shut-out of the tournament is nothing to be sniffed at.

The Winners

·         Sergio Parisse – Utterly inspirational once again on his return from the naughty school.  Wonderful handling, running and tackling reminded us how unfortunate it is that such a player will probably never get to lift a major trophy, and fortunate the Italians are to have him.

·         Andrea Masi – once again the pick of the Azzurri backs.  Doesn't just tackle people, he smashes them – as he showed when he hit Vunipola hard in the first half.  Always hungry for the ball too.

·         Luciano Orquera – The diminutive fly half returned to the starting line up and, although he missed a couple of important kicks at goal, generally played with an assuredness that probably surprised even himself.  A wonderful assist for McLean's try, too.

The Losers

·         Martin Castrogiovanni – Alas, it pains me to say it, but this is not the Castro we know and, in many cases, love.  Struggled at scrum time before having his afternoon cut short by injury which will have upset him – his magnificent performance against the French seems a long time ago now.

·         Eduardo Gori – Summed up his tournament so far with a brainless display which culminated in him getting sinbinned for taking Flood out off the ball.  He can be a sharp player on his day, but he hasn't looked too clever so far this year.

What's Next?

The Italians can't afford to do what they did after the victory against the French and assume the victories will come.  They have a decent shot against a vulnerable Ireland side in Rome next Saturday, but they will only get the long-awaited second victory if they get their heads down this week and concentrate on improving what was already an impressive performance.  Their tactical kicking from scrum half was appalling so Tobias Botes should be brought in to ease the pressure on Orquera, and their defence still tends to group close to centre field, leaving gaps out wide.  If Brian O'Driscoll is fit, he may be able to exploit that but they can prevent it by working on the speed of their drift.  Above all though, the Italians need to learn how to cope with expectation.  Rome is waiting – they shouldn't disappoint.

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