Thursday, 5 September 2013

Premiership Preview - Part 4



With Pre Season over, we can finally dispatch of that dreaded word “Friendly”.  We all know the expression, “There’s no such thing as a Friendly”, but I never truly understood it until I was on under 16 rugby tour in Holland with my local club.  Due to the traditional fixture mix-up, the team we were meant to be playing – a local college – were 80 miles away in another City, so we ended up playing a Belgian University’s women’s side in a so-called friendly.  Never have I experienced carnage like it, and I shan’t go into details, but suffice to say that the ‘gentlemanly’ rules that govern where you can or can’t grab/punch – unless you’re James So’oialo – did not apply to this game.

So now the Friendly season is out of the way, and I’ve got the above off my chest, let’s turn to Part 4 of RuckedOver’s Premiership Preview.


Sale Sharks

Coach:  Steve “Sod it, I’ll do it myself” Diamond.  He may have no patience and probably no sense of humour, Diamond is Sharks through and through and knows how to get what he wants, as he showed by leading his side to safety following a disastrous start under the now-demoted Bryan Redpath.

Captain:  Dan Braid.  It speaks volumes that he has only been at the club half a season and yet has been announced as captain already.  His industrious work rate and bulldozing carries were key to the Sharks finding safety last season after arriving to find them rooted to the bottom of the table. 

What happened last year?  Bryan Redpath managed to continue a losing run he had began at Gloucester with his new employers, Sale.  With a host of a big name signings such as Richie Gray and Danny Cipriani, Sale were touted as being dark horses for a playoff spot but ended up as disappointing as a Game of Thrones episode with no nudity.  They survived – just – but everyone was hoping for so much more.

How do they look this year?  Well, mostly the same as last year.  The positive for the Sharks is that they do have a good squad who underperformed last year, but did start to find their feet towards the end and picked up a couple of wins.  If they can continue where they left off they shouldn’t be near the dogfight at the bottom of the table, but it’s doubtful they have enough quality to push for a top 6 finish.

Players out:  Alasdair Dickinson (Edinburgh), Richie Gray (Castres), Richie Vernon (Glasgow Warriors), Andy Powell (Wigan Warriors), Corne Uys (Pays d'Aix), Charlie Amesbury (Bristol)

Players in:  Daniel Baines (Rotherham), Kirill Kulemin, Jonathan Mills, Phil Mackenzie, Tom Arscott (London Welsh), Andy Forsyth (Leicester Tigers), Michael Paterson (Cardiff Blues), Joe Ford (Leeds Carnegie)

Key Player:  Dwayne Peel.  The Welsh veteran remains a class act with gorgeous service and an eye for a gap.  His control of the game will be particularly valuable if the mercurial (read: inconsistent) Danny Cipriani is standing outside of him.

One to Watch:  Henry Thomas.  It was all looking so promising for the highly-rated young prop before he suffered a nasty knee injury early on in the season, but he bounced back superbly later on to claim a spot on England’s tour of Argentina, picking up a couple of caps in the process.  He’s not in the Elite squad for this year, but with his mobility and power you can bet he will be pushing very hard as the season progresses.

Prediction: 9th.  Comfortable mid-table obscurity will feel like absolute bliss for the Sharks this time round.  They shouldn’t be troubled by thoughts of relegation, but they won’t be troubling the thoughts of the top four either – despite Salford on a Friday night being one of the trickiest fixtures in the calendar.

 
Saracens

Coach: Mark McCall.  For once there’s no suspicion of puppetry on behalf of Brendan Venter (he’s moved to the Natal Sharks) and so there’s no doubt who the main man is now.  McCall is backed up by a great team and they will want to continue some of the positive steps they made last season, despite missing out on the Final.

Captain: Steve Borthwick.  The evergreen lock may be one of the most boring men on the planet but he likes his lineouts and he knows his rugby.  Leading from the front is his way, and Saracens value his leadership and attributes even if international hopes have all but faded away.

What happened last year?  It all looked to be going so well.  They’d managed to turn their new home, Allianz Park, into something of a fortress and were playing some gorgeous, fast-paced and frankly un-Saracen rugby on there.  With first place in the Premiership in the bag, nobody expected them to fall at the semi-final stage...but that’s exactly what they did as they brutalised by a relentlessly physical Saints side.

How do they look this year?  It’s a family affair at Saracens this year as newly-capped number 8 Billy Vunipola arrives to make hay with his brother Mako, and with James Johnston they add some very considerable beef to an already sizeable pack.  Tim Streather also looks to be a sharp signing from Nottingham, if he can stay free of injury, but it’s the pack where the Sarries look the real deal – especially if Will Fraser can continue his superb form from last year.

Players out:  Andy Saull (Newcastle Falcons), Carlos Nieto, John Smit, Joe Maddock (Retired)

Players in:  Billy Vunipola (London Wasps), James Johnston (Harlequins), Tim Streather (Nottingham), Michael Tagicakibau (Bristol)

Key Player:  Will Fraser.  He was RuckedOver’s player of the season last year and for good reason.  His relentlessly physical defence and superb scavenging work was indicative of the “Wolf Pack” mentality the side claim to have developed.  If he maintains that form from last year, Saracens will not only be challenging at the top of the pile, but Fraser may find himself in an England shirt too.

One to Watch:  Billy Vunipola.  It’s hard not to spot him really.  Being a raw talent was both wonderful and forgivable whilst he was young, but he has to now grow up and play a more mature game.  Saracens will have been hammering home the conditioning on the giant number 8, and if he can add fitness levels and awareness to his already burgeoning skill set then we may just see a very handy player emerge.

Prediction:  2nd (Runners Up).  Like Leicester, Sarries have refined rather than gone for wholesale changes, and I fully expect them to be even stronger than last year.  The only issue for them is if they can find the finishing expertise out wide – both Strettle and Ashton were handy in parts last year, but nowhere near consistent enough.  I envisage a very close run chase in the League and an even closer battle in the Final, but I think Sarries will fall just short.

 
Worcester Warriors

Coach:  Dean Ryan.  He did a decent job with Gloucester and a decent job with Scotland but his best work has been as a Sky Sports analyst where he seems the only bloke around there who knows what he’s on about – although he does only have the myopic Stuart Barnes and Dewi Morris for competition.  Let’s see if he can put his money where his mouth is and help Worcester Warriors move away from the relegation scraps fans at Sixways are so used to.  It’s his first season after taking over from Richard Hill.

Captain:  Jonathan Thomas.  A new era under Dean Ryan has meant a new captain – even if he is a new addition.  Thomas is an experienced Welsh international who can be relied upon to make the right decisions when the going gets tough – a shrewd call by Ryan, and one that immediately stamps his mark on the team.

What happened last year?  They were looking a pretty solid bet for a mid table finish before an abysmal run after Christmas, which saw just the one win from their last 11 games, led to them slumping down to 11th place and Richard Hill losing his job.

How do they look this year?  Some smart signings in the forms of Thomas, Ignacio Mieres and Paul Warwick are promising for the Warriors, but they’ve also lost a hell of a lot of talent, in particular young flanker Matt Kvesic and points machine Andy Goode.  Ryan has picked up players to slot right into these spots but there’s no guarantee they’ll click – and other areas of the team still look suspect.

Players out:  Matt Mullan, Joe Carlisle, Andy Goode (London Wasps), Ollie Hayes (Bristol Rugby), Aleki Lutui (Edinburgh), Neil Best (London Scottish), Matt Kvesic (Gloucester), Blair Cowan (London Irish), Nikki Walker (Edinburgh), Errie Claassens (Bristol), Craig Gillies (Retirement)

Players in:  Paul Andrew (Cornish Pirates), Jérémy Bécasseau (Stade Francais), Ofa Fainga'anuku (Glasgow Warriors), Chris Brooker (Harlequins), Agustin Creevy (Montpellier), Michael Williams (Blue Bulls), Jonathan Thomas (Ospreys), Cameron Goodhue (Auckland Blues), Leonardo Senatore (Pampas XV), Jeremy Su'a (Crusaders), Ignacio Mieres (Exeter Chiefs), Paul Warwick (Stade Francais), James Stephenson (Bedford Blues)

Key Player:  Ignacio Mieres.  The former Exeter Chiefs 10 endured a difficult season last year after being usurped by Gareth Steenson, so he’s joined the Warriors for regular first team action.  He has big boots (not to mention a big shirt) to fill at Sixways though.  Andy Goode may not have been the most stylish of flyhalves but his boot won the Warriors countless games and his playmaking ability was vastly underrated.  Mieres must at least match Goode’s influence if the Warriors are going to avoid a relegation scrap this year.

One to Watch:  Leonardo Senatore.  The 29 year old flanker may be a bit of a late bloomer on the international scene but he is making a big impact, looking mightily impressive in the Pumas’ narrow defeat at home to the Springboks in the Rugby Championship.  This is his first taste of fully professional club rugby (aside from a very short stint at Toulon) and, if he sets his mind to it, his physicality and aggression could become one of the Warriors’, and the Premiership’s, success stories.

Prediction:  11th.  Dean Ryan is a very competent coach, and that is why the Warriors will stay up this season.  There are some great players scattered throughout this Warriors side, but would anyone make a top four starting line up?  Doubtful.  There remain to many weak links within the Worcester side and they have a lack of depth which must be concerning.  They will always be competitive at home though and I think they have just enough class to avoid the drop.
 

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