Friday, 27 September 2013

Rugby Championship Preview - Argentina v New Zealand



Why is home advantage so important?  I’ve often wondered why it is at a professional level. I can sort of understand it, from experience, in the amateur league’s my immediate pre-match routine consists of about 2 sit-downs on the toilet and a thorough 45 minute warm up on the pitch, which is what I get – when I’m actually able to play instead of being injured – at my local club.  Of course, it is unnerving when you go away to a club that’s seen slightly less investment, where the toilet consists of a drain that’s been blocked for 3 years and the pre-match warm up involves walking around the pitch to pick out glass, fag-packets, old jonnies and dog sh*t.  That, I know, can put you off your game a tad.

But the pros don’t have that.  They have immaculate facilities and someone to cater for every need – why should it matter what pitch you’re playing on?  Perhaps I’m overlooking a key aspect that we don’t see in the Kent Divisions – the crowd.  Walking into certain stadiums with 40’000 plus spectators, half-drunk and baying for your blood, is also enough to put you off your game.  And that is the effect the Pumas will be hoping for when the All Blacks walk into the bearpit at La Plata. 

The Argentines certainly need the advantage – they are 0 from 4 in the tournament and have never beaten the All Blacks.  But seeing the return of stalwarts such as Juan Martin Hernandez, Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe and Patricio Albacete is enough to give the this side hope – and that will be seized upon by the partisan home supporters.  They can also take something from the fact that they looked the better side against the All Blacks in their last fixture against the World Champions, until a yellow card to Eusebio Guinazu proved too much to handle.  The Kiwis, on the other hand, are on a role once again and, despite missing Dan Carter and Richie McCaw, still boast one of the most experienced sides in the world.  They will be bracing themselves against the onslaught.

Let’s see how much home advantage really counts.


Argentina Team News

Argentina have been bolstered by the return of lock Patricio Albacete for Saturday's Test against New Zealand at La Plata.  Albacete, who has been capped 53 times, tore a hamstring in Los Pumas' first game of the Rugby Championship against South Africa and will return in place of Manuel Carizza.  He is one of six changes from the side which lost 13-14 to Australia in Perth.  Eusebio Guinazu is named at hooker in place of Agustin Creevy, while four changes have been made in the backline. Martin Landajo has been named at scrum-half instead of Tomas Cubelli, Horacio Agulla has been replaced on the right win by Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino while in mid-field, Santiago Fernandez and Marcelo Bosch come back to replace Felipe Contepomi and Gonzalo Tiesi.

Starting Line up:  Juan Martin Hernandez; Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino, Marcelo Bosch, Santiago Fernandez, Juan Imhoff; Nicolas Sanchez, Martin Landajo; Marcos Ayerza, Eusebio Guinazu, Juan Figallo, Julia Farias Cabello, Patricio Albacete, Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe (captain), Pablo Matera, Juan Manual Leguizamon
Subs: Agustin Creevy, Nahuel Lobo, Juan Pablo Orlandi, Mariano Galarza, Benjamin Macome, Tomas Cubelli, Felipe Contempomi, Horacio Agulla.

Key Player

Eusebio Guinazu.  Coach Santiago Phelan has chopped and changed his hookers more often than a schizophrenic pimp, but he has had good reason.  The Pumas lineout has been struggling throughout that Championship, with substitute on Saturday, Agustin Creevy, particularly struggling to hit his targets and failing to make an impact around the park.  Guinazu has hardly fared better though – his throwing has been far from flawless and a needless yellow card against the All Blacks that caused his side to concede 17 points.  If Guinazu is to repay his Phelan’s faith in him, he has to give his side a platform by showing discipline in the set piece...and around the park.


New Zealand Team News

Andrew Hore returns to the All Blacks starting side in one of two changes made by coach Steve Hansen for Sunday's Rugby Championship match against Argentina in La Plata.  Aaron Cruden will start at fly-half with Dan Carter out of action with a shoulder injury. Hore, who was rested for New Zealand's 29-15 defeat of South Africa on September 14, takes the place of Dane Coles.

Starting Line up: Israel Dagg; Ben Smith, Conrad Smith, Ma'a Nonu, Julian Savea; Aaron Cruden, Aaron Smith; Kieran Read (Capt), Sam Cane, Liam Messam; Sam Whitelock, Brodie Retallick; Owen Franks, Andrew Hore, Tony Woodcock.
Subs: Keven Mealamu, Wyatt Crockett, Charlie Faumuina, Jeremy Thrush, Steven Luatua, Tawera Kerr-Barlow, Beauden Barrett, Charles Piutau.

Key Player

Aaron Smith.  The scrum half has really kicked on over the last couple of seasons, from acting as a bit-part player to being the undisputed first choice 9 for the All Blacks.  His eye for a gap has marked him out as a real threat around the breakdown, and he has a knack for knowing where the tryline is – but he does occasionally look flustered when his pack are under pressure, as he showed for the Highlanders this year.  The Pumas will be sure to apply plenty of that the Kiwi breakdown, so Smith will have to pick his moments to attack and concentrate on doing the basics right – if he gives his backline clean ball, the All Blacks will be horrible difficult to stop.


Key Battle

Patricio Albacete v Sam Whitelock.  Understated, quiet and yet relentlessly physical and an inspiration to their sides, Albacete and Whitelock have more in common that meets the eye.  Whilst Albacete has been a mainstay of the Pumas’ pack for years, Whitelock has developed quietly and effectively from a young tyro to one of the rocks All Black pack is built around.  His intelligence in the air and around the field is matched by his surprising physicality – and he’ll need every bit of muscle to hold off the charge that will be led by Albacete, who will be champing at the bit to get back into the fray in front of his home crowd.  With the breakdown sure to be key, Whitelock’s ability to remain calm and hold the fort in the face of pressure is a real test of his leadership.


Prediction

The Pumas in their own backyard are a fearsome proposition, and they should have beaten the Springboks in their last home match earlier in the Championship.  The games against England in the summer were a dead rubber, with both sides effectively playing second string teams, but for the meaningful games you can guarantee they will be fired up to the max and will take advantage of any complacency from the opposition.  I’m deadly serious when I say a major upset may be on the cards, should lady luck smile flirtatiously at the men in blue and white.  However, the All Black pack still has all the physicality and intelligence you could want, and they won’t let the hosts intimidate them; and the backline still looks the most formidable unit in world rugby.  Their colossal experience – all 809 caps of it – should just be enough to provide the expected result.  All Blacks by 9.
 

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