Friday, 10 May 2013

Aviva Premiership Semi-Final Review - Leicester Tigers v Harlequins



Repetition isn't always boring.  There are, of course, many instances where it is – New Zealand winning the Tri Nations (or Rugby Championship as it's now known), another scandal involving a bank, and Danny Care maintaining a terrible haircut.  However, try telling that to those Leicester fans who see their team in the knock-out stages once again for the umpteenth time, and indeed to those following Quins, who see their burgeoning, talented side in the playoffs for the second year in a row, having developed a taste for success after last year.  This is of course a rematch of last year's final, where the London side rolled across the road to Twickenham and, despite being underdogs, outplayed their illustrious opponents to earn themselves a thoroughly well-deserved win.  So this one should have a nice undercurrent of spice to it – with both sides trying to prove they are the dominant force in England – and not least because of the recent furore surrounding the Lions.  Leicester, last year's runners up in England, have been honoured with no less than six Lions call ups, whilst the reigning champions have none.  Not even the electric Danny Care, the powerful Mike Brown or the inspirational Chris Robshaw.  You can almost hear the indignation at the injustice of it all bubbling over from West London, and they will be desperate to prove a couple of points on Leicester's home turf.  And what will the Tigers think? Probably not a lot – after all, somebody coming to Welford Road with a serious vendetta against the East Midlanders is hardly a new scenario.

It's the usual story with Leicester – another semi-final (their 8th on the trot, and their 5th home semi on the bounce) with the prospect of a staggering 9th consecutive Premiership final on the bounce.  But if you thought that the hunger for success would have diminished, you'd be dead wrong.  Not only is this Leicester's last shot at silverware this season (which, at a club who adopt the Blofelt "This organisation does not tolerate failure" mentality, is a big deal), but the Tigers are also saying goodbye to two 'local' legends in Geordan Murphy and Martin Castrogiovanni.   You couldn't find two more different players – one a balding full back with better footwork than Michael Flatley, the other a hairy, marauding prop who is a suspected missing link from cave-dwelling times.  But both these guys have a charisma and passion for Leicester that has endeared them to the Welford Road faithful, and the rest of the team will be desperate to give them a winning send off at home and one last Twickenham appearance.  They'll need to up their game though – after an impressive run of form in the Premiership, they've become a bit too relaxed of late with their semi-final spot all but secured.  Loose play led to a loss against Bath and inaccuracy against London Irish, but you can bet that Richard Cockerill won't let that happen again.  Leicester will have to ensure they bring out their 'A' game against the defending champions – and that means getting their power runners hitting lines 2 passes away from the breakdown, recycling with lightning, and attacking a back-peddling defence.  If they play to their potential, Murphy and Castro may just get the dream send-off they deserve.

For Harlequins, the dream has had a couple of rude awakenings of late.  Following on from their sensational victory over the Tigers' in last season's final, the Premiership champions started the year in insuppressible style – with the likes of Mike Brown, Danny Care and Chris Robshaw all maintaining their international form and scoring tries seemingly at will.  But they have had to come down to earth with a bit of a bump – despite leading the league up until Christmas, the west London side have only won 5 of their 9 games of 2013, an average run which included 3 consecutive losses and disappointing home defeats to Wasps and Exeter.  But this isn't the woolly, la-dee-da Harlequins outfit of old – this side has backbone and tenacity, and has bounced back with 3 impressive wins which allow them to travel to Welford road with a realistic degree of confidence.  They'll be looking to Nick Evans to target Matt Tait and Nikki Goneva, especially, with high balls because they're not the most reliable duo covering back, although Tait improves with every outing. If Quins are at their best – playing at a high tempo and with a lot of width – then they are a very difficult side to hold down; plus they know they can beat Leicester, having won in their last 3 encounters (including twice at Welford Road).

Of course, once the players get onto that pitch, past form will count for nothing and we'll hopefully be treated to a fast and skilful display of attacking rugby. For one set of fans, who'll see their team marching onto the final for the second year running, that'll make for a very enjoyable sense of deja vous indeed.

 
Leicester Team News

Leicester include Mathew Tait and Dan Cole in their starting line-up for Saturday's Premiership semi-final.  Both were replacements for Saturday's bonus-point win over London Irish but return to a side skippered by fellow England international Toby Flood.

Starting Line up: Tait; Morris, Tuilagi, Allen, Vereniki, Goneva, Flood (c), Ben Youngs; Mulipola, Tom Youngs, Cole; Kitchener, Parling; Croft, Salvi, Crane.
Subs: Hawkins, Balmain, Castrogiovanni, Mafi, Waldrom, Harrison, Ford, Smith.

Key Player

Manu Tuilagi.  The Samoan-born wrecking ball has been a little quiet of late since his barnstorming display against Northampton, but you only need to look at his performance in that game to know what he's capable of when he gets into a match.  He's facing up to two smaller centres in George Lowe and Tom Casson – with both men roughly the same size as Tuilagi's thigh – but Lowe is quick and strong in the tackle.  There is a channel for the Lions tourist to exploit though, and that's between Casson and Nick Evans.  Casson is, in my opinion, a colossally average player and Nick Evans, despite being a world class fly half, isn't the greatest defender – if Tuilagi makes sure he gets his hands on the ball and hits that short line between 10 and 12, the Leicester machine will gather a hell of a lot of momentum.  And that's a pretty hard machine to stop once it gets going.

 
Harlequins Team News

Harlequins are without injured England captain Chris Robshaw (ankle) so Luke Wallace continues at open-side flanker with Maurie Fa'asavalu at blindside.   Joe Gray is the hooker with Joe Marler and James Johnston packing down at prop.

Starting Line up: Brown; Williams, Lowe, Casson, Monye; Evans, Care; Marler, Gray, Johnston; Kohn Robson; Fa'asavalu, Wallace, Easter (C).
Subs: Buchanan, Lambert, Collier, Matthews, Guest, Dickson, Botica, Chisholm.

Key Player

Luke Wallace.  With the superb Chris Robshaw still battling his way back from a troublesome ankle injury, all eyes turn on to the majestically-conditioned mane of the young Harlequins' openside.  His hair may be girly, but his physicality is anything but – tenacious over the ball and fast across the park, his contest with Salvi to slow down or steal attacking ball from the opposition will be critical to the game.  He doesn't have Robshaw's carrying and offloading ability, but if he can make sure that he's first one in to the breakdown, that won't matter – Leicester's game is based on momentum, and this guy has the tools to stop it.

 
Key Battle

Ben Youngs v Danny Care.  Eeesh, this is a tight one.  Care must hate the sight of Youngs more than Augustus Gloop hates the sight of a 3 leaf salad.  Not only is Youngs England's starting 9, ahead of him by a whisker, but he's now a Lions tourist, whilst Care has been left out.  I personally think they should have both gone, but that won't matter to Care – he has a score to settle.  The Harlequins man is probably more of an individual threat than Youngs, in that he scoots through gaps himself more often, but the Leicester 9's ability to bring in runners off his shoulder is absolutely pivotal to how the Tigers play.  Care will need to tune down his emotion and frustration to avoid this becoming a personal vendetta that pushes him into making selfish decisions, whilst Youngs will need to ensure his service, which has been very sharp of late, remains reliable under the pressure that Quins will surely apply on him.  Both men are key components in how their team attack – if one has an off day, it may just go a huge way towards deciding the outcome of this tie.

Prediction

This one is going to be an almighty battle that should throw up some decent rugby as well, and I can see it going right down to the wire.  Quins may well have had the nudge on the Tigers in their last 3 encounters but, with a full strength side at Welford Road, this may be where the title defence ends for the reigning champions.  Tigers by 5.
 

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