Sunday, 3 February 2013

Match Preview - Italy v France


 
Two years ago, the French cemented their reputation for messing up games they should have won by forgetting to show up (mentally of course - they at least managed to get onto the pitch) in Rome and were rewarded by receiving a physical hiding from the Italian pack, giving the Azzurri a historic 22-21 victory.  Since then, the French came close to glory at the World Cup before floundering to a disappointing 4th place finish in last year’s Championship.  The Italians meanwhile have continued their slow upward cave, having won at least one match in the championship in 5 of the last 6 years, and pushed Australia all the way in the autumn internationals.
 
The French though, are about as consistent as a Bill Clinton response to allegation of inappropriate sexual behaviour, and following an average 6 nations and summer tour, pulled out a seriously impressive series of displays in their Autumn internationals, with the total destruction of the Australian pack showing off the sheer power of Les Blues forwards.  At home the Italians are a force to be reckoned with, but can they hold off the French onslaught?  If it actually comes at all of course...
 

Italy Team News

Luke Maclean comes in for Italian legend and fiery left wing Mirco Bergamasco, whilst Tobe Botes makes a staet in place of Edoardo Gori at scrum half.  The only change in the pack from their impressive showing against the Wallabies sees Simone Favaro replace Robert Barbieri at openside.

Starting Line up: A Masi; G Venditti, T Benvenuti, A Sgarbi, L McLean; L Orquera, T Botes; A Lo Cicero, L Ghiraldini, M Castrogiovanni, Q Geldenhuys, F Minto, A Zanni, S Favaro, S Parisse (capt).
 
Replacements: D Giazzon, A de Marchi, L Cittadini, A Pavanello, P Derbyshire, E Gori, K Burton, G Canale. 


Key Player

Sergio Parisse.  I’m sure we’re all bored of hearing it but at times the man almost carries the team on his shoulders all by himself.  Appearing all over the park, he stands in at flyhalf, hits lines a centre would be proud of, and carries like the world class number 8 he is – it’s a suprise he doesn’t occasionally pack down in the front row.  The more Italy can get him into the game, the better their chances of winning are.


France Team News

France make 6 changes to the side that beat Samoa in the autumn, with Yoann Huget starting at fullback, Benjamin Fall replacing the injured Vincent Clerc, whilst Maxime Machenaud starts instead of Morgan Parra in a suprise call at scrum half.  In the pack, Thierry Dusautoir is recalled at flanker, whilst prop Yannick Forestier and hooker Dimitri Szarzewski start in the front row. 
 
Starting Line up: Y Huget; W Fofana, F Fritz, M Mermoz, B Fall; F Michalak, M Machenaud; Y Forestier, D Szarzewski, N Mas, P Pape (capt), Y Maestri, T Dusautoir, F Ouedraogo, L Picamoles.

Replacements: B Kayser, V Debaty, L Ducalon, R Taofifenua, D Chouly, M Parra, F Trinh-Duc, M Bastareaud.

 
Key Player

Louis Picamoles.  The giant from Toulouse is key to getting France on the front foot, striding through tacklers with apparent ease off the base of a scrum.  France will be hoping their set piece can carry on their impressive form from the autumn in order to give the big number eight a solid platform to work off.

 
Key Battle

Given that I’ve picked the 2 number 8s as the key players, it makes sense that this is going to be the key battleground.  I can see a brutal 80 minutes as these two tango their way around the pitch.  Picamoles is probably the more physical of the two but Parisse offers the subtlety of hand and game management to bring his teammates into the play.  Both are essential to getting their sides on the going forward.

 
Head to Head

·         Italy have won just 2 of the 34 matches played between the two countries
·         France have won only 2 games in their last five away matches in the six nations.
·         Italy have not won more than one game in a Six nations since 2006

 
Prediction

France impressed in their Autumn Internationals and I think they have enough class to win in Italy.  France to win by 10 points after breaking down stubborn Italian resistance for 60 minutes.

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