Friday, 22 February 2013

Six Nations Preview - England v France


'Le Crunch'.  A name that was invented by the French and English press during the early 1990s when the 2 nations spent half the time trying to wind each other up and having a scrap rather than actually playing any rugby.  Nowadays, of course, the game is very different, with most players acting squeaky clean in the knowledge that your every move is under watch by the prying TV cameras – unless your name is Dylan Hartley of course, in which case you just do it anyway.  That's not to say that this fixture won't be explosive.  Far from it.  When you have the likes of Courtney Lawes, Louis Picamoles, Manu Tuilagi and Mathieu Bastareaud lurking around, you can be sure that you'll be witnessing some colossal impacts on Saturday – in fact, 'Le Crunch' doesn't really do justice to the noise we'll hear when Tuilagi and Bastareaud collide at the weekend; they'll need to come up with a new word to describe that sound.

England will feel in a pretty good place at the moment.  A convincing win over Scotland, filled with gourmet slices of juicy rugby, was followed by mud-ridden brawl in Dublin, where the men in white came out on top again.  Two very different performances that showed off a team capable of playing two very different styles of rugby.  Was it perfect?  Not by a long shot.  The discipline of the side against Ireland, especially when looking after their own ball on the attack, was poor and led to the side giving away penalty after penalty in good positions, whilst the set piece had a mini-meltdown in the second half after looking good for the first.  If England give Les Bleus that sort of dominance and field position, they will be in for a very long afternoon.  However, the French have looked so blunt in attack and flakey in defence, that the English will be confident of seeing them off – a key area will be around the fringes, where Wales had them back-peddling constantly; scrum half Ben Youngs will be expected to open up lots of gaps for his runners around here.

The French meanwhile have just been bizarre.  From coach Saint-Andre – whose mantra seemed to be to pick second-string players and play them out of position – to fly half Frederic Michalak, who just seemed plain lazy at times.  It will come as some relief to fans of Les Bleus (and some irritation to England fans) that Saint-Andre finally seems to have screwed his head on and selected a side based on both merit from Top 14 performances and common sense – where the best players are playing in their best positions.  Against Italy and Wales, the French have looked slow, lateral and inaccurate, but worst of all they have not shown any urgency when they have gone a score down with limited time left to play.  The leaders have simply not shown up.  However, with nobody expecting them to win and the pressure, in many ways, now off, there is always a suspicion that the 'other' France might show up to play – the ones that play with pace, invention and flair and can destroy any side on their day.  Think of the French performances against the All Blacks in the 2011 final and the 1999 semi final – nerves are growing in the English camp.

 
England Team News

Stuart Lancaster has made three changes to the side that beat Ireland in Dublin a fortnight ago, with centre Manu Tuilagi returning to partner Brad Barritt in midfield instead of Billy Twelvetrees, whilst Dylan Hartley gets the nod at hooker ahead of Tom Youngs. Courtney Lawes will start at blindside for the first time in international colours instead of flu-victim James Haskell, with all three displaced players dropping to the bench.

Starting line up: Alex Goode; Chris Ashton, Manu Tuilagi, Brad Barritt, Mike Brown; Owen Farrell, Ben Youngs; Joe Marler, Dylan Hartley, Dan Cole; Joe Launchbury, Geoff Parling; Courtney Lawes, Chris Robshaw (capt), Tom Wood
Subs: Tom Youngs, Mako Vunipola, David Wilson, James Haskell, Thomas Waldrom, Danny Care, Toby Flood, Billy Twelvetrees

Key Player

Ben Youngs.  The England 9 needs a big game from a personal point of view to hold off the considerable challenge of Danny Care, after the Harlequins 9 stole the show against Youngs' club, Leicester, last weekend.  He is also instrumental to England's attacking game around the rucks and mauls – his lateral bursts drag defenders out of position and create holes for his runners.  If he gets on the same wavelength as his carriers then England will get a lot of go-forward in this area.

 
France Team News

Philippe Saint-Andre appears to finally have sobered up slightly and picked a side that looks much more threatening and, well, normal.  Fly-half Frederic Michalak and scrum-half Maxime Machenaud are among the casualties from the defeat against Wales at the Stade de France 12 days ago with Francois Trinh-Duc and Morgan Parra preferred at half-back.  Vincent Clerc returns on the right wing, with Wesley Fofana moving to inside centre and Maxime Mermoz dropping out of the squad. Thomas Domingo takes Yannick Forestier's place at loose-head with Benjamin Kayser starting at hooker in the place of Dimitri Szarzewski. Christophe Samson, who has only one cap, replaces Jocelino Suta with flanker Yannick Nyanga stepping in for the injured Fulgence Ouedraogo.  The big question is, though, how long will it take all these new players to connect as a team?  To be fair, they can't do much worse than their last 2 outings.

Starting Line up: Yoann Huget; Vincent Clerc, Mathieu Bastareaud, Wesley Fofana, Benjamin Fall; Francois Trinh-Duc, Morgan Parra; Thomas Domingo, Benjamin Kayser, Nicolas Mas, Christophe Samson, Yoann Maestri, Yannick Nyanga, Thierry Dusautoir (capt), Louis Picamoles.
Subs: Dimitri Szarzewski, Vincent Debaty, Luc Ducalcon, Jocelino Suta, Antonie Claassen, Maxime Machenaud, Frederic Michalak, Florian Fritz.

Key Player

Francois Trinh-Duc.  The Frenchman has been at the epicentre of a very impressive Montpellier outfit over the last couple of years and yet has found his opportunities limited at international level, despite never having a bad game.  The French will look to him to take the ball flatter than Michalak and vary his game intelligently to break up any English momentum.

 
Key Battle

Manu Tuilagi v Mathieu Bastareaud.  Yes, there are more technically important battles around, such as Cole v Domingo, Parling v Maestri, Robshaw v Dusautoir and Parra v Youngs, but come on, admit it – this is the collision you want to see.  Tuilagi has the better footwork but Bastareaud is even heavier than the Leicester man so it will be interesting to see who comes out on top – one thing's for sure though, these two will be itching to get stuck into one another and when they do, the fans better hope Twickenham has some deep foundations.

Head to Head
 
·         England have won 5 of their last 6 Six Nations encounters with France
 
·         If France lose on Saturday, it will be their worst start in the five/six nations since 1980, and become their worst run in the tournament since 1958 – when they lost six in a row.
 
·         The last time France won at Twickenham was in 2005.
 
Prediction

I think we'll see a much improved French performance, but will it be enough to dismantle this confident English side?  The kicking game, with France lacking a kicking back 3, and the lineout will be key, but I think that Twickenham is a place that the French don't really enjoy coming to and if they don't score early, I think England will come away with a decent win, despite stiff opposition.  England by 8.
 

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