Thursday, 14 February 2013

Super XV Season Preview - South Africa



In the final instalment of our Super Rugby preview, we go to the country which is the setting of one my favourite recent films (District 9) – South Africa.  I don’t think it’s likely we’ll be seeing a team packed full of ‘prawns’ anytime soon, but I suspect we’ll be seeing some out of this word rugby from some of the guys below at some point over the next 6 months.

 
Bulls

Head Coach: Frans Ludeke

Captain: Pierre Spies

What happened last year? The Bulls had a pretty decent season considering the majority of their side jumped ship before the start of 2012.  With a backbone of key Springboks leaving, not many gave them a chance before they’d even run out onto the pitch, but they dug up some pretty decent talent and impressed as they won 10 out of 16 games to make the playoffs, despite losing 4 of their last 6.  Even though this was all a pretty decent result, you couldn’t help but feel some of their big names were under performing, with Morne Steyn looking particularly out of sorts at times.

How do they look this year? Pretty much the same.  Ludeke has resisted the temptation to implement wholesale changes and instead trusts that the experiences of the last year will harden the team and motivate them for a decent crack at the playoffs.  He’ll be looking to experienced Springboks like Pierre Spies, Steyn, and Zane Kirchner to lead from the front and disprove the suspicions that their side isn’t dynamic or mobile enough.

Key Player: Pierre Spies.  The big number 8 has never quite hit the heights he hinted at when he first burst onto the scene, and is prone to go missing in games.  The captain is, however, an incredible athlete and an inspiration when on form.

Prediction: The Bulls have a tough start and it will be a big test of character on how they deal the pressure situations that they will undoubtedly encounter.  I personally have doubts that key players like Morne Steyn or even Spies have the character to pull themselves out of a run of average form, so this year may be another dry one for the Bulls. 3rd in conference (9th overall)
 

 
Cheetahs

Head Coach: Naka Drotske

Captain: Adriaan Strauss

What happened last year? Well, despite only winning 5 games all season, the Cheetahs were pretty decent at times.  So decent in fact, that they picked up a staggering 7 losing bonus points, all the while playing a brand of rugby that was both entertaining and high risk, often to their detriment.  Obviously the narrow losses also made it clear that although this was a team with bags of talent, they lacked the necessary grit to throw a knockout punch when required and seemed a little wet behind the ears.  Not unlike Quade Cooper in the boxing ring.

How do they look this year? Er...not too great.  They’ve been hit with the not-particularly-helpful news just days before the start of the season that influential flanker and World Cup winner Juan Smith won’t be taking any part this year and has retired due to injury.  Despite having Adriaan Strauss in the pack, a world-class hooker, the Cheetahs still lack some real nous up front on how to win tight matches and perform under pressure – and none of the signings have really addressed that.

Key Player: Johan Goosen.  The fly half looked electric when he burst onto the Super Rugby circuit last year, only to have his season cut short by injury.  With a howitzer boot as well, he’s certainly a pretty useful guy to have on your side.  But can the pack get him go forward ball after the likes of Ashley Johnson have left?

Prediction: It may sound negative, but the Cheetah’s haven’t brought in anyone to address the issues of their leaky defence and weak mindset when it comes to closing out games.  I’m afraid it might be more of the same for Cheetahs fans this year. 4th (11th)

 
Southern Kings

Head Coach: Matt Sexton

Captain: Luke Watson

What happened last year? Well not much, obviously.  2013 is the Kings’ first season in Super Rugby, but they were part of the scandal which saw the Lions ‘relegated’ on a whim of the SARU.  Despite one side’s loss being another’s gain, judging by the Kings’ performances in the Currie Cup, they may be in for a painful induction.

How do they look this year? The most positive thing I can say is that they have nice kits.  They have been shafted by the promotion/relegation initiative which means they will undoubtedly be relegated within a year, resulting in a lack of top players wanting to sign contracts with them.  That’s not to say they don’t have talent in the ranks with the likes of ex-Toulouse teammates Virgile Lacombe and Nicolas Vergalo, but they will come across sides of a different class during this year and will be on the end of a fair few hidings.

Key Player: Luke Watson.  Yes, THE Luke Watson will be leading the Kings this year (well he would be captain wouldn’t he – daddy’s the President), but there are already fears he may be suffering from big-fish-small-pond syndrome, believing himself to be too much of a big deal for his team.  If he rolls his sleeves up however and puts in the hard yards, he could yet inspire the Kings to throw a few surprises this year.

Prediction: There is a very real risk that the Kings could go through the season with a big fat 0 next to their name come to July time.  Their first game up is against the Force at home, and could possibly be their best chance of picking up a win – if they don’t, they’ll be in for a long season. (5th, 15th)


Sharks

Head Coach:  John Plumtree

Captain: Keegan Daniel

What happened last year? So near, and yet so far for the Sharks.  Making 6th in the table, the Sharks made history when they travelled to Queensland to beat the Reds, and then to Cape Town to despatch with the Stormers, becoming the first side to win two away matches in the playoffs in the process.  Ultimately, a flight to New Zealand to play the Chiefs proved a trip too far for the Natal side as they were hammered in the final, but they came away with reputations enhanced and expectations raised.

How do they look this year? I think that this Sharks sides is equipped to go one step further this year.  After dominating the Currie cup on a regular basis they should set a target of topping their conference as an absolute minimum, and with new whipping-boys the Kings in their division, they have a chance to rack up some serious points to make an impression on the league as a whole as well.  Just looking down the roster demonstrates some serious power and pace in the form of Willem Alberts, Keegan Daniel and KP Pietersen – you can see why they may be optimistic this year.

Key Player: Marcell Coetzee.  The flanker has now established himself now as a key member of the Springbok’s squad and his performances on securing turnover ball against the best sides will be absolutely critical.  It’s hard to pick just one man in a Sharks side that’s packed to the props with talent, but Coetzee is fast becoming the heartbeat of the side.

Prediction: I think this Sharks side has the potential to go all the way this year.  They have a decent home draw and if they can learn from their experiences of last year, then they will be real contenders. 1st (1st, Champions)

 
Stormers

Head Coach:  Allistair Coetzee

Captain:  Schalk Burger

What happened last year? The Stormers ground their way to yet another semi-final but also went the whole season without earning a try bonus point and were about as entertaining to watch as a documentary on fabric softener.  Their defence was obviously massive on the most part, but Stormers fans will be frustrated that yet again the team lacked the killer instinct to go the distance – they weren’t helped, of course, by formidable flanker Schalk Burger injuring his knee and sitting out the second half of the season.

How do they look this year? A couple of useful signings from the Lions, such as Elton Jantjies, have boosted the Stormers ranks which already contain some seriously big names in South African rugby – think Jean De Villiers, Bryan Habana, Juan De Jong, Gio Aplon, Eben Etzebeth and Schalk Burger – and so they will certainly be there or there abouts again this year.  The big question is whether the coaches have the structure in place to make the most out of their undoubtedly talented backline and actually score some tries this season – their defence wasn’t a problem.

Key Player: Schalk Burger.  He was notable by his absence last season but is fit and raring to go now – and the Stormers will be hoping he stays that way.  When he’s on his game, he’s a force of nature and plays a key part in disrupting the opposition’s breakdown.

Prediction: They’ll no doubt be challenging the Sharks for top spot in the conference, but I don’t think they’ve addressed the deep lying problems behind their lack of tries last year.  The Stormers will make the playoffs, but it will take some fireworks to make the final – and I’m not convinced they’ve got the spark. 2nd (4th, losing QFs)

 

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